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The Rate Guy

The Rate Guy

Hosted by JP Conklin

Episodes

100

Latest episode

Jun 2026

Language

EN

About the show

The Rate Guy Podcast is hosted by JP Conklin of Pensford. It's an irreverent insight into interest rates and current markets and how they impact the Commercial Real Estate and Multifamily industries.

Listen to episodes

60 recent
June 14, 2026Episode 25018 min

Our First Warsh Fed Meeting Wednesday

On this episode of The Rate Guy, we talk about last week's jobs number, Warsh's first ever Fed meeting, what position are traders pouring into at a historic level and how a resolution in Iran affect the 10T.

May 26, 2026Episode 24939 min

What Would Cause The Fed To Hike This Year

On this episode of The Rate Guy we take a trip down memory lane. Revisiting similar economic times in history to build a framework for what the Fed might do this year. We take a look at GDP, Money Supply, Inflation, Oil...all of the key touchpoints and which of those we should be payint the most attention to.

May 18, 2026Episode 24821 min

What Brings Rates Back Down?

On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss what the Market is laser focused on right now and what needs to happen to bring relief to the 10T.

May 11, 2026Episode 24828 min

Headline Jobs Added 115k, But Lost 424k Full Time Positions

We're back baby and we're excited about it....well JP's not, but he's got no choice. Today we talk about inflation, Jobs, the new Fed chair, 10T, Caps, Raising interest rates....all of the things! Thanks for your patience with us during our haitus, we break down why during the first 4 minutes. See you next week!

March 23, 2026Episode 24611 min

Friday Was One of The Most Volatile Weeks On Record

On this episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the extreme volatility of last week, what it means for rate caps, the 10T and what to be on the look out from the Fed in the upcoming weeks.

March 15, 2026Episode 24512 min

No, The Fed Wont Hike Because of Oil

March 8, 2026Episode 24424 min

The Ickiest Jobs Report in Five Years

On this episode of The Rate Guy, we break down the economic impact of the war in Iran, a weak jobs report, and what it means for oil, inflation, and the timing of the next rate cut. The cushion the economy has relied on for the past few years may be gone, and the margin for error is getting much smaller.

February 23, 2026Episode 24319 min

Tariffs, Medals, and Stoats

On this episode of The Rate Guy, JP draws some parallels between the winter olympics and happenings in the US Market. Gold, Silver, Bronze and Stoat are awarded.  Big congrats to USA Men's and Women's Hockey Teams who took home Gold this Winter Olympics! Link to Newsletter to see graphs referenced.

February 15, 2026Episode 24215 min

CNBC Talking Heads Fall For The Job Headlines...Again

On this week's episode of The Rate Guy we discuss the SaaSpocalypse, 3 key take aways from the Jobs Report, how (& why) we are in a disinflationary environment right now and how all of that will determine if the Fed cuts this year.

February 2, 2026Episode 24128 min

3 Things to Know About Kevin Warsh

On this episode of The Rate Guy, JP breaks down the 3 things you absolutely need to know about Kevin Warsh being nominated as the new Fed Chair and can Thom Tillis block his nomination like he said he will.

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