
E174: Tarek Mansour, Kalshi CEO: Why Prediction Markets Are the Future of Investing
Tarek Mansour is the co-founder and CEO of Kalshi, the largest federally regulated prediction market exchange in the US - valued at $2 billion and backed by some of the world's top investors.THE SHIFT NEWSLETTER💡Go beyond the mic - subscribe to The Shift, my new weekly newsletter where I share the uncut stories, raw takes, and behind-the-scenes notes from When Shift Happens: https://www.kevinfollonier.com/crypto-web3-newsletter___________PARTNERS🚀 Jupiter is the most used Decentralized Exchange in Crypto and the largest DEX by volume on Solana: https://jup.ag/💳 KAST lets you manage and spend stablecoins or crypto with a Visa Card or Apple Pay. Live in 100+ countries - Get $20 Signup Bonus - https://go.kast.xyz/VqVO/SHIFT - promo code: SHIFT🔓 Trezor offers the safest cold-storage wallets for crypto and true financial independence. Buy with 10% off - promo code: WSH10 - https://affil.trezor.io/SH12h🌱 Bitwise Asset Management manages $15B+ across 30+ crypto investment products — ETFs, index funds, alpha, staking, and more. https://bitwiseinvestments.com/⚖️ Ethena is a synthetic dollar protocol on Ethereum, offering a crypto-native, non-bank-dependent stablecoin called USDe. It uses a delta-neutral hedging strategy with staked ETH to maintain a $1 peg. https://ethena.fi/🔒Sumsub is the leading full-cycle verification platform for the crypto industry, chosen by 8 out of 10 of the world’s largest exchanges. From instant KYC and KYB to automated crypto transaction monitoring, they help VASPs, exchanges, and DeFi platforms prevent fraud, stay compliant, and scale globally. Download the Sumsub Crypto Industry Report 2026 here: https://sumsub.link/osb♾️ Coinsilium provides vital funding and expert advice to Web3 and AI-powered early-stage technology companies. https://www.coinsilium.com___________CONNECT WITH TAREK MANSOUR👇Twitter: https://x.com/mansourtarek_Twitter: https://x.com/KalshiWebsite: https://kalshi.com/FOLLOW WHEN SHIFT HAPPENSTwitter (X): https://x.com/KevinWSHPod Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/kevinfollonier_ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevinfollonier/Website: https://kevinfollonier.com/DISCLAIMERThe info contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speakers who are not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speakers do not guarantee any particular outcome.0:00 Introduction3:11 Where The Anime Passion Comes From4:01 How Tarek Is Doing4:53 Who Is Tarek7:02 Which Version Of Uncertainty Is Tarek A Fan Of9:10 Where Tarek’s Fire In The Belly Comes From13:33 Partnerships: @Trezor @BitwiseInvest14:20 What Tarek’s Brother Does15:19 Why Tarek’s Resilience Is Crazy16:31 Why Is Entrepreneurship Like Therapy22:16 Is Tarek Mad, Crazy, Or In Denial24:45 Would Tarek Have Ever Given Up Earlier?29:54 Partnerships: @KASTxyz @sumsub31:19 How To Focus On Inputs, Not Results33:16 When Did Kalshi Come Into Existence36:00 What’s The True Innovation Of Prediction Markets38:28 How Prediction Markets Revolutionize The Media43:47 How Are Prediction Markets A Better Insurance44:55 Why Is There No Leverage In Prediction Markets47:16 Partnerships: @JupiterExchange @Ethena48:00 Tarek’s Opinion On Insider Trading51:19 Who Enforces The Insider Trading Rules55:26 How Kalshi Surveys Suspicious Behavior56:59 Tarek’s Honest View On Crypto59:41 Why Kalshi Is Launching Regulated Perps In The U.S1:00:30 What Does Regulated Perps Mean?1:02:22 Was Kalshi Inspired By HyperLiquid 1:03:41 How Much Time Does Tarek Look At Competition1:05:58 What’s The Endgame For Kalshi1:07:06 What Does Tarek Do With A Billion Dollars1:08:31 Is Tarek Happy1:13:08 One Thing Tarek Should Let Go Of1:14:18 Closing Thoughts













