
Episode 377: Why Are Mortgage Rates Rising Again? The Bond Yield Story Behind This Fall's Renewal Shock
You check your mortgage renewal quote one week, then look again a few days later, and the rate is higher. The Bank of Canada hasn't changed interest rates, so what happened? In this episode of Think Smart with TMFG, we discuss why fixed mortgage rates in Canada can rise even when the Bank of Canada holds its benchmark rate steady. Many homeowners assume mortgage rates move directly with central bank announcements, but fixed mortgage rates are actually influenced by bond yields, inflation expectations, economic forecasts, and market sentiment. We break down the relationship between government bonds and fixed mortgage rates, explain why bond yields and bond prices move in opposite directions, and discuss what happened this fall that caused many lenders to increase their fixed mortgage rates. We also explore why a Bank of Canada rate hold doesn't necessarily mean mortgage rates will stay the same, and how changes in the United States can influence borrowing costs here in Canada. We also discuss the differences between fixed and variable mortgage rates, what homeowners approaching a mortgage renewal should be paying attention to, and why choosing between the two isn't simply a matter of picking whichever option feels safer. We also explain how mortgage lenders price risk, why bond markets are constantly looking ahead, and what that means for Canadians renewing their mortgages in today's environment. We also discuss a strategy that many borrowers overlook: securing a rate hold before renewal. A rate hold can help protect you if rates rise while still allowing you to benefit if rates move lower, making it one of the few financial decisions that can provide flexibility with very little downside. 📌 Want to review your mortgage renewal options or compare fixed and variable rates based on your financial plan? Feel free to reach out. We'd be happy to help you evaluate the numbers and explore your options. Schedule a meeting here: https://tmfg.ca/schedule/ 🎧 Listen to the full episode on YouTube. Follow us: LinkedIn: The McClelland Financial Group Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/tmfg.ca Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/themcclellandfinancialgroup_/ Hosting this episode: Mike Connon, Senior Financial Advisor, and Tyler Robertson, Financial Advisor















