Seven Months of Falling Values and Election Limbo
Send us a question/idea/opinion direct via text message! In this episode of the New Zealand Property Market Podcast, Nick Goodall and Kelvin Davidson unpack the October Cotality Home Value Index (HVI), which recorded a -0.4% national drop - marking seven consecutive months of declining property values. While Ōtautahi (Christchurch) and Ōtepoti (Dunedin) held relatively flat, Tāmaki Makaurau (Auckland) and Te Whanganui-a-Tara (Wellington) are now both down 4.2% over the past year, pushing Tāmaki Makaurau (Auckland)'s median value right to the edge of the $1 million threshold ($1.006m). We also break down the surprise Q3 labour market figures, where an unexpected 0.1% dip in employment pushed the unemployment rate up to 5.7%. How does this spare capacity - and subdued wage growth - shift the odds for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's 9 December Official Cash Rate (OCR) decision? Finally, we examine the post-election political limbo as 400,000 special votes await counting, the impact of Chris Bishop's departure from the housing portfolio, and a sneak peek at Thursday's Pain and Gain report. Key Topics Covered: October Cotality HVI (-0.4% national fall), Tāmaki Makaurau (Auckland)'s $1.006m median, and regional drops in Heretaunga (Hastings) (-5.6%) and Awakairangi (Lower Hutt) (-5.4%) . Q3 unemployment rising to 5.7%, subdued private sector wage growth, and Kelvin's 51% odds on a 9 December OCR hike . Post-election coalition maths, ACT's property loss ring-fencing stance, and the future of RMA and housing supply reform . All Blacks vs Scotland in Edinburgh, the Wellington Phoenix vs Auckland FC A-League derby draw, Black Caps ODI thriller, and the Kiwis. Read the October Home Value Index: https://www.cotality.com/nz/insights/articles/housing-market-down-again-as-election-looms Keep an eye out for Thursday's Pain & Gain Report: https://www.cotality.com/nz/insights Sign up for news and insights or contact on LinkedIn , X @NickGoodall_CL or @KDavidson_CL and email ngoodall@cotality.com or kdavidson@cotality.com This podcast is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or tax advice. The hosts are not licensed Financial Advice Providers in New Zealand. All information is of a general nature and does not take into account your personal situation or goals. Please consult a qualified professional before making any financial decisions.






