Episodes
100
Latest episode
Jun 2026
Language
EN
Join the MUFG Global Markets Research Team for expert analysis of the week’s most pressing topics impacting economies and the markets
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart, Currency Analyst, discuss how building investor optimism over a US-Iran deal and Kevin Warsh’s first policy meeting as Fed Chair are likely to impact the USD. Will another BoJ rate hike be sufficient to trigger a reversal of JPY weakness?
The much stronger than expected US jobs report has had the obvious impact with front-end rates and the dollar stronger. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with Chris Jakubowski, FX Institutional Sales to discuss the impact of the data going forward. How does this impact EUR/USD with the ECB expected to hike on 11th June? Has ECB pricing become overdone given recent economic data and how will the BoJ respond given the increased upside risks in USD/JPY?
Reaching a deal to extend the ceasefire for 60 days and reopen the Strait of Hormuz is now largely priced. Brent crude oil is down close to 20% from the high on 18th May reflecting the optimism that a deal would be done. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities talks to James Roulston in FX Institutional Sales about what this means for rates and the US dollar. Derek also talks to James about the intervention data from Japan and the biggest AUD/NZD drop since 2016.
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Henry Cook, Senior Economist, discuss the latest Uk economic and political developments. How has it impacted the outlook for UK rates and the pound?
The US dollar is heading for its biggest weekly gain since the first week of the US-Iran conflict in early March. This week, Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with Julie Ellert, Head of FraBeLux FX Sales to discuss the factors behind the dollar move and what it might mean going forward. Yields certainly look to be increasing in importance again as US yields move higher just as Kevin Warsh comes in to take the reins from Jay Powell. Derek also discusses the big sell-offs in fixed income in Japan and the UK and what these moves might mean for the yen and pound.
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Seiko Kataoka Fisher, Director in Japanese Customer Sales for EMEA in London, discuss what has been driving the USD lower over the past week . Is intervention from Japan likely to be successful in reversing JPY weakness?
At the end of a busy week in the markets, Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities sits down with Simon Mayes, Head of UK, Ireland & Swiss FX Corporate Sales to discuss key developments and implications for the FX markets. Derek outlines the prospects for USD/JPY sustaining the move lower following probable intervention by the BoJ/MoF and delves into the implications following this week’s central bank meetings. What do the meetings mean for BoE and ECB policy rate views and what impact will a Kevin Warch Fed have on the dollar?
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Henry Cook, Senior Economist, discuss how the FX majors have been performing ahead of the upcoming BoJ, Fed, BoE & ECB policy meetings. Wil the European central banks stick to more hawkish guidance than the BoJ and Fed?
News that the Strait of Hormuz has been reopened by Iran has helped push Brent crude oil back below the USD 90pbl level. Derek Halpenny, Head of Research Global Markets EMEA & International Securities speaks to Matthieu Gloux Head of Global Client FX Sales about the implications for the US dollar and monetary policy if this re-opening proves lasting.
Lee Hardman, Senior Currency Analyst, and Seiko Kataoka Fisher, Director in Japanese Customer Sales for EMEA in London, discuss the initial FX market reaction to the ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran. Will the USD continue to weaken if military tensions in the region continue to de‑escalate?
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