The InvestSense Podcast

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230

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Jun 2026

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InvestSense discuss the latest in portfolio management, economics and investments while joined by leading voices from around the world. Learn more about InvestSense: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-our-solutions Subscribe to our weekly newsletter here: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast&utm_medium=Weekly

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June 16, 20265 min

SpaceX's trillion-dollar debut, a preliminary deal signed and a hawkish RBA hold

Markets endured a week of whiplash. Brent crude pushed toward US$98 a barrel as Israel and Iran exchanged fire and a US Apache helicopter was reportedly shot down near the Strait of Hormuz. Then on Friday a single Truth Social post, President Trump cancelling planned strikes and claiming a deal had been "approved by all parties”, sent Brent back well below US$90, the Nasdaq up 3.5% and ten-year Treasury yields nine basis points lower in hours. President Trump said on Monday that a preliminary agreement to end the conflict had been signed by the U.S. and Iran. Markets remain cautious: neither side has released the deal text, and shipping companies are delaying vessels through Hormuz until there is greater clarity. The message is familiar: position for diversification, not a binary outcome.Get access to the charts: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/oil-the-rba-peak-and-a-trillion-dollar-float Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

June 9, 202610 min

The week that re-set expectations

Three months into the Iran-Israel conflict, markets have stopped treating it as breaking news and started treating it as the new wallpaper. Brent oil chopped between US$94 and US$98 a barrel last week as the latest Israel-Lebanon ceasefire wobbled, Hezbollah rejected the framework, and an Iranian oil tanker was hit in the Gulf. The Strait of Hormuz remains closed. The "rolling three weeks until resolution" narrative is now in its fourth month, and a long tail of higher input costs is feeding quietly into producer prices around the world.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/the-week-that-re-set-expectations Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

June 1, 202614 min

NASDAQ up 40%, Korea up 100% and a software rebound - the year so far in review

With the financial year now in its closing weeks, this update doubles as both a wrap of the past week and a stocktake of how we have arrived here.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/nasdaq-up-40-korea-up-100-and-a-software-rebound---the-year-so-far-in-review Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

May 25, 202613 min

Hormuz, Hikes and the First Australian Crack

Markets ended the week clinging to hope. President Trump posted on Sunday that a deal with Iran would be "announced shortly", but by Monday morning negotiators were being told not to rush.Learn more: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/hormuz-hikes-and-the-first-australian-crack Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

May 22, 202611 min

Finding value in the AI wreckage with Pzena Investment Management

Markets in 2026 are a study in extremes. The AI-driven euphoria has lifted a narrow cohort of winners to unimagined highs, while a long tail of former tech market darlings have halved in value. For value-disciplined investors, this divergence is the opportunity set. Our conversation with Caroline Cai of Pzena Investment Management, a global value house we hold across many portfolios, neatly captured the current moment.Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

May 18, 20267 min

US 30-year yields top 5% as inflation broadens beyond fuel

Markets finished the week in a now-familiar pattern: US equities punched to fresh record highs on AI momentum, oil ground higher on Gulf supply concerns, and inflation re-accelerated across the developed world.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/us-30-year-yields-top-5-as-inflation-broadens-beyond-fuel Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

May 15, 202611 min

Australia’s budget night, the Macquarie Conference and where real returns come from with Tim Binsted

A lot has happened in a short window. Tuesday night's budget delivered the most significant tax reform package in a generation, and we have spent the last 48 hours working through what it means for adviser practice. The headline measures, replacing the 50% CGT discount with inflation indexation, a new 30% minimum CGT rate from 1 July 2027, and the limiting of negative gearing to new builds, will be canvassed exhaustively elsewhere. We have chosen to stay in our lane and focus on what it changes for multi-asset portfolios and equity selection.Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

May 13, 20265 min

Last night’s budget, Hormuz and a hotter US CPI print

For Australian advisers the local story is the Federal Budget. Treasurer Chalmers delivered the long-flagged property tax reform: negative gearing now restricted to investment in new builds, and the 50% capital-gains discount replaced with indexation plus a minimum 30% tax rate (also waived for new builds). The 2026-27 underlying cash deficit prints at $31.5 billion (roughly 1% of GDP), a $45 billion cumulative improvement on the forward estimates, though the 2026-27 cash balance remains at 2.1% of GDP. Markets took it in their stride; they are also waking up to the fact that the government is spending more despite the headline tax tightening, exactly the demand impulse Michele Bullock told us she does not want. The NAB Business Survey echoed the point: purchase costs surged to 4.5% in quarterly equivalent terms, three times February's level, while final product prices rose only 1.8%. Westpac consumer confidence fell from 90.6 to 80.1, the largest monthly drop since COVID.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/negative-gearing-hormuz-and-a-hotter-us-cpi-print Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

May 5, 20267 min

April's record rally meets Sunday's missile strike as the RBA hikes to 4.35%

April was an extraordinary month for risk assets. The Nasdaq surged 16.3%, the Nikkei 16.6%, and the S&P 500 10.8% — both US indices closing at fresh all-time highs on Friday. The DAX added 7.1%, the FTSE MIB 8.9%, and even the ASX managed 3.0%, although it lagged as the RBA's hawkish posture weighed on sentiment. It was the S&P 500's fifth consecutive weekly gain, carrying it above its pre-war level — a rebound driven by a robust US earnings season (84% beat rate across 63% of the S&P 500 reported) and, as Andrew Hunt argued last week, an estimated US$300–400 billion per month in stealth liquidity from the Fed, Treasury and PBOC combined.Get access to the graphs: www.investsense.com.au/industry-articles/aprils-record-rally-meets-sundays-missile-strike-as-the-rba-hikes-to-4-35 Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck

May 1, 202623 min

Liquidity, Faith and a Coming Reckoning? Andrew Hunt's Macro Outlook

Global equity markets have defied gravity since the Iran conflict erupted and Andrew Hunt of Hunt Economics thinks he knows why. In this week's video, Hunt argues that an estimated $300 to $400 billion per month in stealth liquidity injections is keeping risk appetite alive while the real economy deteriorates. The wave can continue a little longer, but Hunt warns at some point central banks will be forced to choose between supporting asset prices and fighting inflation, and history suggests the transition will be abrupt.Join the InvestSense Community to receive weekly insights from our investment team: https://www.investsense.com.au/investsense-insights?utm_source=Podcast+&utm_medium=MarketSenseCheck