Luke Gromen: Why Gold Could Hit $18,000 as the U.S. Dollar Faces a Crisis
In this week's Stansberry Investor Hour , Dan welcomes Luke Gromen to the show. Luke is the founder and president of the Forest for the Trees ("FFTT"). He looks at the global macroeconomic trends to provide his clients with unique and insightful research. Luke kicks things off by sharing how multiple forces are straining the global markets and putting pressure on a "fragile equilibrium." As a result, the balance that has been maintained could be irreparably toppled if policymakers aren't careful with how they handle things. Luke then says that the U.S. is attempting to repeat the "Imperial Dollar" cycle that occurred in the 1980s. However, the advantage that we had in net international investments (how many net assets a nation has versus other countries) is gone. Many countries hold more assets in the U.S. than we do abroad, and the Federal Reserve will have to make a choice as the dollar's dominance continues to be questioned. (0:00) Next, Luke covers gold and the important role it's playing for the U.S. China is "taking a page" out of the U.S.'s playbook and could demand that America pay its debts in yuan or gold. Luke says if this scenario does fully play out, this would be the day that the "dollar dies." And he states that if America wants to win, it needs to build up a neutral reserve asset. If gold is going to be that asset, its value needs to skyrocket so the U.S. can pay off its deficits in gold. Luke sees this as a possibility if the dollar can be weaker against gold. (21:33) Finally, Luke explains why it's important that we have a financial reset and that it's inevitable. While U.S. debt is high, the main issue is the interest on the debt. Once the Fed needs to print money to cover the interest, that's when Luke says it's all over. And if the Fed allows the Treasury markets to become dysfunctional, confidence in Treasurys will disappear and money will move into hard assets like gold instead. Luke warns investors to stay mentally flexible as these events play out. (41:58)















