Saxo Market Call

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100

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Sep 2026

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About the show

For the aspirational trader and financial markets professional. Coming at you most trading days, the Saxo Market Call is the high frequency podcast for real-time analysis of the financial markets across asset classes, from forex and rates to equities and commodities.

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60 recent

September 4, 2026Episode 145925 min

Big stakes for USDJPY over US jobs report.

Today, a look at the very confusing comments from the Fed's Waller, who waxed dovish so soon after Chair Warsh's recent hawkish musings that the market doesn't know what to do with the next FOMC meeting. Gold and crypto rose sharply on Waller's comments. Also, important incoming US jobs data today for the US treasury market, but especially for USDJPY after the big move higher in the JPY this week, which arguably has more fundamental support than previous rounds of official intervention were able to provide. This and much more on today's pod, especially on another good day for Tesla and whether we are at some kind of Cybercab inflection point. Hosting today is Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links Bloomberg discusses the odd meeting of Japan's largest (and word's largest) pension fund and whether this means a raise of allocation to Japanese government bonds , with this story likely an important contributor to the recent JPY rally. A Tech Crunch article discusses Tesla's polling the market for anyone interested in operating Cybercab fleets . I didn't cover on today's pod that apparently, the post-Cybercab event coverage late yesterday was somewhat negative . Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

September 3, 2026Episode 145822 min

Markets pause for breath after yield run-up.

Today, a look at markets pausing to take a breath after the recent brutal rise in bond yields. The biggest mover Wednesday and Thursday was the Japanese yen on an apparent fresh round of intervention, although some interesting dynamics are at play in the Japanese government bond market as well. Elsewhere, a look at extreme bifurcation in AI stories for single names after earnings reports. A big focus on macro and FX and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links Breathlessly enthusiastic Silicon Valley types talk up the most optimistic outlook for AI I have heard anywhere . Who am I to say they won't be right, but it was a bit nauseating listening, nonetheless with interesting details here and there. Gil Duran wrote the ingeniously titled Nerd Reich, a book charging that a tech oligarchy is undermining our democratic institutions and trying to establish a techno-authoritarian state. He traces the intellectual backdrop of its adherents like Peter Thiel, etc. A long form youtube video of the author himself talking about the book . An exchange on X about China's huge debt load and its implications depending on how it is unwound - Japanese-style or otherwise. The deepest of dives on " what really happened at Jackson Hole " - not the ramblings of Fed Chair Warsh, but rather on the actual theme of Jackson Hole this year, which was Financial Innovation: Implications for Payments and Policy. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

September 2, 2026Episode 145720 min

Have we entered the event horizon for a volatility spike?

Today, we look at the hefty risk-off tone across markets, if with a few notable exceptions, as risk assets are justifiably spooked by the further ramping in global bond yields. We argue that the situation feels like it has entered a zone of instability that could see volatility rising further in the near term, not that it has risen that much yet. Elsewhere, a lot of macro and FX coverage, especially on the aggressive spike in front-end Japanese rates to price in a more hawkish BoJ, and yet the yen is sluggish in its response. This and much more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links Ole's latest piece pointing out that many integrated oil majors have outperformed many of the top market cap companies and AI hyperscalers on both 1-year and 5-year time horizons. A Reuters article says G20 should consider raising trade barriers to China for its unfair policies . This sparked an great conversation on X between Steve Hou and the WSJ's Greg Ip on the nature of the US-China relationship and the utility of pursuing a Chinese currency revalution (higher) after Greg Ip wrote an op-ed in favour of the world forcing a CNY reval . Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

September 1, 2026Episode 145620 min

Global yield breakout dominates market focus

Today a look at the implications across markets as global yields are breaking higher at the long end of the yield curve, from the US 10-year, which hit a new 19-month high, to the German Bund hitting a 15-year high and 10-year JGB a 30-year high at 3.00%. We have a busy macro calendar for the week ahead as well, particularly for the US. Elsewhere, we note the spike higher in natural gas prices for Europe, the driver's for Tesla's big advance yesterday and much more. Today's pod is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links Dwarkesh Patel's writeup on the crazy "Hugging Face indicident" that was so much more, as AI agents went rogue and even took control of an AI research cluster at one point. Germany's political "firewall" against the far right may crumble in Saxony-Anholt in this weekend's elections. Jim Bianco looks at the largest single driver of the swelling in S&P 500 profits this year: Anthropic's valuation ! Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

August 31, 2026Episode 145520 min

Warsh spoils the gold party. Busy week ahead.

Today, a look at Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish posturings at the Fed's Jackson Hole, Wyoming symposium on Friday and the reaction across markets, which seemed most decisive for gold more than for the US dollar or risk sentiment more broadly. Also, we wonder how much more the market can get out of the Fed's hiking potential as we await the next move from Bessent and company at Treasury if US treasury yields rise from here. Much more in today's pod on FX and macro and the busy week ahead with host John J. Hardy, Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy. Links Michael Every was recently on Thoughtful Money recently and I found the discussion of stablecoins the most enlightening, a bit more into the specifics and the assumptions needed to make this work than I have heard previously from Every and others. Katie Martin wonders, as we also do on the podcast, when the "new age of financial repression" is coming . Mark Zuckerberg's Social Reckoning . (The New Yorker) A WSJ op-ed frets the risk of a US food crisis , in part on fertilizer supply chains that run through the Middle East and China On X, Paulo Macro points out a string of recent magazine covers that should warm the hearts of AI bubble bears . Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

August 28, 2026Episode 145426 min

Can Fed Chair Warsh give the market what it wants?

Today, a rundown of key commodity markets as oil markets remain tame and refined products are the bigger pinch point, gold and silver seem ready to rally anew if Fed Chair Warsh fails to roll out a hawkish stance in his speech today, and grain and soft prices are likely set to record their strongest month in years. Elsewhere, the stock market is putting on a show of strength on the surface as everyone hopes, bond traders included, that Fed Chair Warsh is set to give the markets some clarity on his stance on policy today. Can it be so lucky? Today's pod features Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen and Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links Reminiscences of a Shrub Operator put out a priceless piece picking apart the absurdities and dangers of the current market environment - a must read for both content and the high entertainment value. The FT's Robin Wigglesworth with a NY Times op-ed on how the AI debt binge could sink the economy . Friend of the show Peter Garnry out with a piece on LinkedIn warning to be careful about celebrating the idea of "asset light" companies and what to focus on instead . One of the FT's most read pieces today is how junior consultants are being called back into the office to practice their human skills, which are becoming more valuable in the age of AI . The irony! Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

August 27, 2026Episode 145325 min

Nvidia does what it can to bring cheer. Dark geopolitics still lurk in the background.

Today, with Saxo Equity Strategist Ruben Dalfovo we look through three of the key earnings report seeing very positive market responses, topped by Nvidia's strong report and outlook. We go through the details, the good points and a few concerns in places. Elsewhere, macro is quiet and a lower oil price is helpful, but grains are on fire, in part linked to geopolitical concerns that continue to present difficult-to-quantify risks. This and more on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links As Michael Every predicted, the US is now considering the equivalent of "letters of marque" or 19th century and earlier era policies allowing private operators to serve as extension of US power overseas , for things like seizing Iran's oil. Today's very compelling set of FTAlphaville Further Reading links very much worth a browse. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

August 26, 2026Episode 145221 min

Waiting for what may or may not surprise from Nvidia and the J-Hole.

Today, while crude oil prices were crushed by Strait of Hormuz headlines and bond yields responded to a degree, much of the market is in a holding pattern ahead of a string of event risks that may or may not provide what the market is hoping to get from them - especially Friday's Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Warsh, not to mention today's Nvidia earnings release after the close. This and much more discussed on today's pod, which is hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

August 24, 2026Episode 145119 min

Geopolitics and US and European yields in the spotlight

Today, a look at the importance and geostrategic implications of the US-Canada trade stand-off, even if the current 50% tariff threat only impacts a small portion of the trade relationship. The geopolitical implications of the US threat to counter Iran's "enablers" are also considered, together with the latest news flow on AI data center financing stories, incoming earnings from Nvidia and other interesting names this week and much more, especially what to watch in the US and European sovereign debt markets. Today's pod was hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links Michael Every X post highlighting key geopolitical points and why this latest round in the US-Canada "trade war" is critical stuff . The New York Times covers Powerus, the company already manufacturing thousands of drone interceptors a month in the UAE . US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's threat to cut off Iran's economy from the world , focusing especially on its "enablers" - what might that mean for new US-China tensions, which have been put on the back burner for quite some time? Volkswagen wants to make some deep cuts to capacity and may repurpose some of its factories for defense. Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.

August 21, 2026Episode 145019 min

Bessent panics, gold and crypto rip, equity technicals pivotal

Today, we look at Treasury Secretary Bessent out trying to massage the market again after the Wednesday treasury buyback announcement failed to crush long US treasury yields. The treasury's actions continue to provide fuel for the sharp gold and crypto rallies. We also note that the market's so far modest correction is getting us close to pivotal technical territory for the S&P 500, with one critical earnings report up next week for the AI space. This and much more on today's pod, which was hosted by Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy John J. Hardy. Links Have you heard of SLM's (Small Language Models that can run on a PC/laptop), these might have performance parity with LLMs for large percentage of AI tasks, which could - could - call into question the need for the scale of hyperscaler spending we are seeing . Fed piece on stablecoins: Payment stablecoins and cross border payments: Implications for monetary policy implementation . There is no one like The Telegraph's Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, who waxes dramatic as only he can on the dire risks of a US debt crisis . Read daily in-depth market updates from the Saxo Market Call and the Saxo Strategy Team here . Please reach out to us at marketcall@saxobank.com for feedback and questions. Click here to open an account with Saxo . Intro music by AShamaluevMusic DISCLAIMER This content is marketing material. Trading financial instruments carries risks. Always ensure that you understand these risks before trading. This material does not contain investment advice or an encouragement to invest in a particular manner. Historic performance is not a guarantee of future results. The instrument(s) referenced in this content may be issued by a partner, from whom Saxo Bank A/S receives promotional fees, payment or retrocessions. While Saxo may receive compensation from these partnerships, all content is created with the aim of providing clients with valuable information and options.