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Palisades Gold Radio

Palisades Gold Radio

Hosted by Collin Kettell

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30

Latest episode

Jun 2026

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EN

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Podcast by Palisades Gold Radio

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30 recent
June 11, 202653 min

Florian Grummes: ‘Devastating’ Oil Shortages, Bursting AI Bubble & Gold Miners

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Florian Grummes to the show. Florian Grummes is the Founder and Managing Director of Midas Touch Consulting. Florian remains bullish on oil and gas, viewing energy equities as still undervalued despite recent price consolidation. He anticipates a severe oil price shock by late summer or early autumn, driven by ongoing supply disruptions from Middle East tensions, critically low inventories, and a disconnect between Western paper markets and physical demand. He notes that while demand destruction may eventually occur, the immediate risk is a sharp price spike as shortages intensify. Florian also warns that the AI-driven stock market bubble is nearing a peak, comparing it to past speculative manias, and expects a significant correction that could trigger a liquidity crunch. This environment complicates the Federal Reserve’s position, as it cannot easily lower interest rates amid persistent inflation and may even be forced to raise them, further stressing the economy. In precious metals, Florian sees gold in a secular bull market, driven by its role as a neutral reserve asset and ongoing central bank buying. However, he notes that gold and silver are currently in a correction phase, with silver potentially pulling back toward the $50 level before the next leg up. He remains a long-term silver bull due to its industrial and monetary demand, but cautions that short-term pain is likely. Mining stocks have sold off sharply, with sentiment extremely bearish. Florian advises patience, waiting for signs of capitulation and contrarian buy signals before aggressively adding positions. He emphasizes the importance of quality companies and recommends holding cash-flow-generating dividend payers, particularly in oil, to weather potential market turmoil. Overall, he sees a complex, volatile period ahead, but believes the longer-term trends for commodities and precious metals remain intact. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:20 – Oil and Gas Equities Outlook 00:03:45 – Oil Bull Market Analysis 00:06:10 – Middle East Supply Disruptions 00:10:05 – Impending Oil Price Shock 00:13:50 – Energy Market Resilience? 00:15:00 – Specific Interesting Plays 00:17:20 – AI Bubble and Market Risks 00:21:52 – Fed Rates and Inflation Pressures 00:27:08 – Gold Role in Debasement 00:36:00 – Remonitization of Metals? 00:39:45 – Thesis Around Silver 00:43:05 – Gold Miners & GDX 00:48:42 – Quality Miners & Uncertainty 00:51:05 – Midas Touch Consulting Guest Links: Website: https://www.midastouch-consulting.com X: https://twitter.com/FlorianGrummes Substack: https://substack.com/@midastouchconsulting Telegram: https://t.me/MidasTouchConsulting Free Newsletter: http://eepurl.com/d5Euf LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/floriangrummes/ Seeking Alpha: https://seekingalpha.com/author/florian-grummes Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Midastouchconsulting Florian Grummes is an independent financial analyst, advisor, consultant, mentor, trader & investor as well as an international speaker with more than 30 years of experience in financial markets.  Florian is the founder and managing director of his company Midas Touch Consulting, which is specialized in trading & investments as well as consulting, analysis & research with a focus on precious metals, commodities and digital assets. Via Midas Touch Consulting he is publishing daily and weekly gold, silver, bitcoin & cryptocurrency analysis for his numerous international readers. Florian is well known for combining technical, fundamental/macro and sentiment analysis into one often accurate conclusion about the markets.

June 4, 20261 hr 5 min

Francis Hunt: The Fiat Currency Collapse, ‘Turbocharged’ Stagflation & Monetary Metals

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Francis Hunt back to the show. Francis Hunt is known as a Renegade Trader, Analyst, and Founder of The Market Sniper. Hunt observes that the South Korean KOSPI index has surged an extreme 291% in just over a year, driven almost entirely by two stocks—Samsung and SK Hynix—amid the AI boom. This narrow advance mirrors the concentrated gains in the NASDAQ but is even more pronounced. Despite the export revenues from these tech giants, the Korean won is weakening, which Hunt attributes to foreign investors withdrawing profits and domestic retail investors piling in on record margin, a classic “Shushan boy” setup. He believes a currency crisis looms for South Korea, exacerbated by higher energy import costs that deplete dollar reserves. These energy cost pressures are part of a broader stagflationary environment that Hunt argues is intentionally manufactured. He contends stagflation enriches billionaires who hold assets while impoverishing the middle class and blue-collar workers through higher living costs and eventual job losses. This, he says, socializes costs and devalues debt for the wealthy, while governments later turn to predatory taxation, such as capital gains levies, to strip further value from citizens. In this context, Hunt maintains that precious metals—gold, silver, and platinum—are the prime beneficiaries. While gold and silver have experienced a corrective pause after an enormous run-up, he views the three-wave selling pattern as a healthy reset within a long-term bullish structure. His technical target for silver stands at $333, derived from a falling wedge pattern on the quarterly chart, which he expects will resume once the current consolidation resolves. Hunt advises concentrating wealth in monetary metals rather than diversifying across commodities like copper or lithium, which may rise nominally but lag in real gold-ounce terms. He notes the gold-silver ratio could see a short-term squeeze upward but remains structurally bearish long-term. For miners, he suggests selectivity, as rising energy costs have pressured some, though those with growing ounce profiles remain attractive. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:40 – World Volatility and Market Trends 00:01:40 – South Korea AI Trade Setup 00:08:47 – South Korea Currency and Charts 00:25:09 – Long-Term Silver Thesis 00:27:33 – Precious Metals Market State 00:30:03 – Sectors and Inflationary Pressure 00:32:03 – Nasdaq Vs. Gold Predictions 00:35:00 – Equity Valuation Setup 00:36:10 – Short-Term Gold Outlook 00:44:30 – Gold & Silver Long-Term Thesis 00:55:40 – Copper & Other Commodities 01:00:30 – Market Sniper Wrap Up Guest Links: X: https://x.com/themarketsniper X: https://x.com/thecryptosniper Website: https://themarketsniper.com YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/user/TheMarketSniper Francis is a trader, first and foremost. Unlike most educators in the trading space, Francis walks the walk and talks the talk, with 30 years of experience trading his personal capital on various markets and instruments. Through this passion for trading and his relentless study of markets and economic theory, he uses the Hunt Volatility Funnel trading methodology, a systemized approach, to answer the critical question: What is the next most profitable trade? He believes the actual price of an asset is the most accurate reflection of all the factors that influence it. Practical technical analysis, the study of price action over time, is needed to formulate profitable trade ideas. Indeed, with all the market manipulation and high-frequency trading operations currently in play, technical analysis is all that can be relied upon when it comes to formulating future price trends. A trained eye can often spot such manipulative practices, as is the case with HVF traders. Therefore, the HVF methodology is based purely on technical analysis. Francis is passionate about sharing his knowledge and understanding of markets by utilizing his HVF trading methodology. With entertaining anecdotes and the careful guidance of his students, he has already trained a large community of hundreds of traders and helped them transform from complete newbies to seasoned trading professionals. He genuinely loves sharing his knowledge and strategies with others who are committed to finding freedom through trading. Plus, teaching strengthens his trading abilities while helping to build a vibrant community of successful traders.

June 3, 202635 min

Dr. Nomi Prins: Iran War, Uranium ‘Ultimate’ Beneficiary & Gold’s Continued Rise

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Dr. Nomi Prins to the show. Dr. Nomi Prins is Founder of Prinsights Global and Substack. The discussion opens with a broad assessment of global economic headwinds, including the ongoing blockage of the Strait of Hormuz and rising bond yields. Dr. Prins explains that even a hypothetical resolution to the strait crisis would not immediately ease supply backlogs, keeping oil prices elevated and contributing to persistent inflation. She notes a significant dislocation between struggling economic confidence and stock markets reaching all-time highs, fueled by large asset funds and cash waiting on the sidelines. The conversation shifts to the beneficiaries of supply disruptions, where Dr. Prins sees value in oil producers outside the Middle East, such as those in Colombia, which can bypass the strait. She then highlights uranium as a critical, underappreciated story, emphasizing that nuclear energy’s role in powering data centers and AI creates surging demand against a backdrop of severely constrained supply, with new mines taking up to 18 years to develop. This supply deficit, she argues, makes current uranium prices appear very low. Addressing inflation and central bank policy, Dr. Prins anticipates that while short-term rates will likely remain unchanged, the Federal Reserve may increase long-term bond purchases, effectively reawakening quantitative easing to manage debt servicing costs. She believes this will not significantly stimulate the broader economy but that real growth will come from hard assets and commodities like copper and silver, which are essential for electrification and in structural deficit. On gold, she remains bullish, citing its stability and the fact that central banks now hold it as their top reserve currency, viewing it as a long-term diversifier. She maintains a year-end gold price target of $6,000. The interview concludes with Dr. Prins pointing to significant investment opportunities in junior mining, particularly in copper, uranium, and rare earth elements, for investors who can look past current geopolitical volatility. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:41 – Global Economy Headwinds 00:01:08 – Strait of Hormuz Disruptions 00:03:20 – Oil Price Outlook 00:06:30 – Oil Producer Opportunities 00:09:43 – Uranium Energy Security 00:13:00 – Commodity Supply Shortages 00:18:28 – Fuel Shortages 00:20:40 – Inflation and QE Outlook 00:26:46 – Gold Market Stability 00:31:33 – Mining Sector Investments 00:35:00 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: X: https://x.com/nomiprins Website: https://nomiprins.com Substack: https://prinsights.substack.com Dr. Nomi Prins as a Wall Street insider and outspoken advocate for economic reform, Nomi Prins is a leading authority on how the widespread impact of financial systems continues to affect our daily lives. She has spent decades analyzing and investigating economic and financial events at the ground level and meeting with those that shape the world’s geopolitical-economic framework. She continues to break stories by conducting independent research, writing best-selling books, and traversing the globe to share her knowledge and demystify the world of money. Before becoming a renowned journalist and public speaker, Nomi reached the upper echelons of the financial world where she worked as a managing director at Goldman Sachs, ran the international analytics group as a senior managing director at Bear Stearns in London, was a strategist at Lehman Brothers and an analyst at the Chase Manhattan Bank. During her time on Wall Street, she grew increasingly aware of and discouraged by the unethical practices that permeated the banking industry. Eventually, she decided enough was enough and became an investigative journalist to shed light on the ways that financial systems are manipulated to serve the interests of an elite few at the expense of everyone else.

May 29, 202639 min

Chris Vermeulen: ‘Parabolic’ Bubble, Big Pullback for Gold & The Financial Reset

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Chris Vermeulen to the show. Chris Vermeulen is Founder & Chief Investment Officer, The Technical Traders. Vermeulen begins by analyzing the current equity market, noting that while stocks are grinding higher, the rally is not broad-based but concentrated in tech, small caps, and micro caps, which he sees as a sign of underlying weakness. He suggests the market may be entering a euphoric, parabolic phase, potentially triggered by upcoming IPOs like SpaceX, but warns this could end in a sharp correction and a major market top. Using Fibonacci extensions, he projects significant upside for the NASDAQ but remains cautious about the rally’s sustainability. Shifting to commodities, Vermeulen explains his preference for stable, trending assets over volatile, headline-driven ones like oil, which he avoids due to geopolitical noise. He expresses similar concerns about the agricultural sector, seeing it as a crowded trade where heavy public interest and high volume may indicate distribution rather than further upside. His most detailed analysis focuses on precious metals, where he forecasts a substantial near-term pullback for gold and silver. His Fibonacci analysis points to a potential drop in gold to $3,600 and a 46% decline in silver from current levels, which he views as a painful reset for latecomers before the next major bull cycle begins. He views gold miners as the same correlated trade, warning against over-concentration. Vermulen advocates for his “asset revesting” strategy, rotating capital into assets in confirmed uptrends and stepping aside when trends weaken. He emphasizes discipline, risk management, and avoiding emotional attachment to assets like physical gold, which he notes costs money to hold and can underperform for years. His focus remains on equities for now, waiting for a clearer entry point in precious metals after an anticipated sell-off. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:52 – Market Opportunities Radar 00:02:20 – Equities Current Trends 00:02:41 – Rally Breadth Concerns 00:04:00 – Index Selection Discussion 00:06:25 – Fibonacci Technical Analysis 00:11:20 – Bubble and Melt-Up Debate 00:12:30 – Oil Market Disruptions 00:17:10 – Agricultural Commodities View 00:22:31 – Gold Price Predictions 00:28:27 – Silver Miners Analysis 00:35:59 – Copper & Chris’s Approach 00:37:20 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://thetechnicaltraders.com/ X: https://x.com/TheTechTraders Chris Vermeulen is the Founder & Chief Investment Officer of The Technical Traders and the visionary mind behind Asset Revesting. In his book Asset Revesting – How to Exclusively Hold Assets Rising in Value, Profit During Bear Markets, and Continue Building Wealth in Retirement, he lays out this investment framework. Chris launched his financial career at 16, parlaying his knack for trading and risk management into funding his final year of college, where he earned a business diploma in operations management. By his twenties, he had achieved financial independence as a full-time entrepreneur and trader. After a setback—blowing up a trading account—Chris dedicated himself to treating trading as a business, completing the Trading Strategy Mastery and Trading Is Your Business courses. A technical analysis expert, he devises systematic methods to spot market opportunities and control portfolio risk, rejecting traditional buy-and-hold approaches that cling to depreciating assets. His efficient asset allocation models balance short- and long-term strategies to minimize drawdowns and consistently outperform benchmarks. Those seeking reliable capital preservation and growth turn to his proven techniques.

May 27, 202658 min

Adrian Day: Increasing Oil Exposure, The Most Undervalued Resource Stocks & Gold

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Adrian Day to the show. Adrian Day is CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management & Manager of EuroPacific Gold Fund. Day sees the recent weakness in oil as a potential buying opportunity, particularly if a peace deal triggers a further short-term drop. He argues that beyond temporary disruptions, the underlying supply picture is bullish because oil has been chronically underinvested for years. With US shale production peaking and no clear new major source of global supply to meet consistent demand growth, he views a sustained move above $150 per barrel as a plausible base case. He is waiting for exaggerated drops in oil stocks to build positions, favoring companies with strong balance sheets. Broadening the discussion to the wider commodity complex, Day notes that resource stocks are near 100-year lows relative to the equity market. He identifies a long-term cycle shift where foreign markets are beginning to outperform the US after 15 years of underperformance, a trend he expects to continue for years. This rotation out of large-cap US tech into international value creates opportunities in deeply undervalued markets like the UK, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Regarding precious metals, Day believes gold and gold stocks currently offer the best risk/reward. Central bank and institutional buying remains price-agnostic and robust, driven by a strategic desire to diversify away from the dollar. While short-term interest rate narratives have held back some buyers, he argues that an eventual peace deal would allow rate cuts, which is very positive for gold. Valuations across royalty companies and mid-tier producers are historically attractive on free cash flow metrics. He advises clients with existing large allocations to hold firm, while those new to the sector should consider building substantial positions. Overall, Day sees gold as the best commodity to own now, even as other hard assets may eventually begin to outperform within the broader cycle. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:43 – Oil Supply Disruption Analysis 00:02:51 – Oil Price Projections Scenarios 00:11:05 – Oil Producers Valuations Review 00:15:47 – Fertilizer and Commodity Disruptions 00:21:45 – Gold and Silver Stocks Outlook 00:23:00 – Foreign Markets Outperformance Trends 00:30:30 – Gold Risk Versus Reward 00:39:00 – Gold Miners Valuations Discussed 00:47:40 – Silver Market Analysis Today 00:49:30 – Commodity Super Cycle Thesis 00:55:00 – Coal and Supply Security 00:57:30 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://adrianday.com/ Adrian Day is considered a pioneer in promoting the benefits of global investing in the United Kingdom. A native of London, after graduating with honors from the London School of Economics, Mr. Day spent many years as a financial investment writer, where he gained a large following for his expertise in searching out unusual investment opportunities around the world. He has also authored two books on the subject of global investing: International Investment Opportunities: How and Where to Invest Overseas Successfully and Investing Without Borders. His latest book, widely praised by readers, is Investing in Resources: How to Profit from the Outsized Potential and Avoid the Risks (Wiley, 2010). Mr. Day is a recognized authority in both global and resource investing. He is frequently interviewed by the press, domestically and abroad. He is a popular speaker and is frequently invited to lecture at financial conferences and seminars around the world. His pleasures include fine dining, reading (especially history), and the opera.

May 26, 202638 min

Gary Savage: Why Silver Will Outperform The Miners | Gold, Miners & Oil

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Gary Savage to the show. Gary Savage is Retired Entrepreneur, Investor, and President of Smart Money Tracker Premium. Gary Savage opened the discussion by assessing the current stock market, noting that while it may be entering a final parabolic bubble phase, particularly in semiconductors, warning signs like a diverging banking index and Hindenburg Omens suggest increasing danger. He cautioned that chasing these final gains risks a severe crash. The conversation then shifted to precious metals, where Savage believes gold and silver bottomed in March and are now in the advancing phase of a new intermediate cycle, albeit with frustrating, erratic momentum. He explained that the recent correction, rather than a continued parabolic surge, has returned the market to a “wall of worry” phase. This development, while slower, is healthier for the secular bull market, potentially extending it for several more years and allowing for much higher ultimate price targets, such as $15,000 gold, compared to a shorter, more volatile parabolic blow-off. He advised that buying physical metal is sound at any time for long-term holders, but warned that trading is difficult in the current volatile consolidation, which can easily shake out leveraged positions. Regarding miners, he expects them to rise with gold but believes physical silver may ultimately outperform mining ETFs due to the absence of company-specific risks. On energy, Savage suggested waiting for a potential peace deal in the Middle East to drive oil prices back down to test the upper $60s breakout level before considering a long position, as he anticipates a larger commodity bull cycle will eventually push oil above its all-time high. He linked this outlook to a broader inflationary cycle, predicting the Fed will eventually cut rates and print money, exacerbating inflation and fueling hard assets. He concluded by noting his Smart Money Tracker service is currently closed to new subscribers, as he only opens access near market bottoms. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:50 – Stock Market Bubble Concerns 00:02:22 – Equity Market Breadth Issues 00:03:48 – Precious Metals Cycle Outlook 00:05:57 – Gold Silver Correction Analysis 00:12:20 – Wall of Worry Phase 00:14:20 – Gold Patterns & Conflict 00:19:43 – Buying Physical Metals Advice 00:23:07 – Gold Miners and Leverage 00:28:19 – Oil Market Opportunity 00:31:32 – Inflation Cycle Outlook 00:33:58 – Smart Money Tracker Update Guest Links: X: https:/x.com/garysavage1 Blog: https://blog.smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCgiNs7gCxEvgBE1HHvoOKTQ/videos Website: https://smartmoneytrackerpremium.com/login/ Gary Savage is a retired entrepreneur living in Las Vegas. He has been investing in stocks and commodities for 15+ years. Gary is a self-made multi-millionaire and attributes his financial success to savvy investments made in owning/selling several businesses, real estate, and, more recently, the stock market. He is also a national Judo, powerlifting, and Olympic weightlifting champion and world record holder. Gary holds national titles in 3 different sports and continues to challenge himself as an avid rock climber, and recently his newest endeavor bowling (two perfect 300 games so far). Gary’s renown as a recognized trading/investment expert in the areas of precious metals, stock market, oil, and currency markets is demonstrated by his numerous internationally published articles in these market areas: Kitco, 24hGold, Gold-Eagle, Investing, 321Gold, Keyport, SilverSeek, TFMetalsReport, FuturesMag, ResourceInvestor, Silver-Phoenix, BayStreetBlog, BeforeItsNews, ETFDailyNews, TalkMarkets, JuniorMiningAnalyst, MarketOracle.UK, SafeHaven, GoldSeek, Mining, CommodityOnline, SilverMarketNewsOnline, StreetWiseReports, and InvestingNews. Gary publishes the Smart Money Tracker, a daily and weekend market newsletter available online by subscription only, at a very modest price. This subscription-only site provides Gary’s in-depth daily commentary and chart analysis of numerous markets, including the stock, precious metals, oil, and currency markets.

May 24, 20261 hr 26 min

Art Berman: Art Berman: Coming Oil Shock ‘Worst Thing’ in Modern History, Shortages Inevitable

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Art Berman to the show. Art Berman is known as the energy realist and he paints a dire picture of the global energy situation, describing the Strait of Hormuz disruption as an unprecedented crisis with no historical precedent. He likens the world economy to a human losing 20% of its blood supply daily, explaining that while the West hasn’t felt immediate effects due to drawing on oil inventories, these savings will soon run out, and the lag will hit hard. Discussing supply numbers, Berman clarifies that roughly 15 to 20 million barrels per day of crude and refined products normally flow through the strait, but the effective loss is reduced to around 10 million barrels by bypass pipelines, still a catastrophic bleed-out. Berman outlines scenarios, starting with an unrealistic best case where everything resolves by June 1st, yet logistical hurdles like de-mining, insurance, and tanker queues mean oil wouldn’t flow until late 2026 at the earliest, leaving the world with no supply replenishment for months. His base case is that the Strait of Hormuz never returns to normal flows, as Iran has no incentive to relinquish the immense geopolitical leverage it now holds. He emphasizes that the U.S. is not truly energy independent, importing 6.5 million barrels of heavy crude daily because domestic light oil cannot substitute for the diesel and jet fuel the economy requires. Production restarts would be fraught with technical problems, and investor confidence in the region is permanently shattered. Berman stresses the irreversible nature of these events, comparing them to personal betrayals or missed opportunities—stabilization may occur, but the world will never return to 2025 economic norms. He notes that credible analysts predict global oil storage could hit operational limits by late July, with price spikes to $150-$160 possible before demand destruction tempers them. He highlights the unprecedented rate of supply loss, 99 times faster than any previous oil shock. Despite the bleakness, Berman finds hope in the crisis forcing necessary behavioral changes and a reevaluation of humanity’s planetary footprint. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:49 – Strait of Hormuz Disruption Significance 00:03:59 – Inventory Drawdown Effects 00:11:01 – Missing Barrel Estimates 00:16:44 – Best Case Recovery Scenario 00:27:37 – Base Case Permanent Blockade 00:28:39 – United States Energy Impact 00:32:33 – Crude Oil Quality Differences 00:45:12 – Long Term Geopolitical Outlook 01:05:40 – Storage Inventory Limits 01:25:29 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: Website: https://artberman.com X: https://x.com/aeberman12 Art Berman isn’t your run-of-the-mill energy consultant; he’s a full-blown disruptor in a realm riddled with myths. With 40 years in petroleum geology and an intriguing twist – a degree in Middle Eastern history – Art slices through energy complexities with academic rigor and market savvy. Forget what you thought you knew. This man’s comparative inventory approach is a guiding light for traders, investors, and policymakers. And he doesn’t just spend his time consulting. Art is an adjunct lecturer at the University of Houston, your go-to expert witness, and an electrifying keynote speaker who doesn’t mince words. In a sector awash with misinformation, Art’s your source for gut-punching, data-backed truths. His clientele spans from ambitious investors to globe-spanning corporations, all seeking decisions steeped in reality, not fantasy. Love him or hate him, one thing is certain: Art Berman is an undeniable force in the energy sector. Away from the charts and graphs, Art enjoys Baroque music and psychology and spending family time with his wife, kids, grandkids, and his dog, Lily. So, are you ready for the unvarnished truth? Look no further.

May 22, 202634 min

Simon Hunt: ‘Inevitable’ Oil Shortages, Famine is Coming, Gold & The New Monetary Order

Stijn Schmitz welcomes back Simon Hunt to the show. Simon is a consultant on the global economy, China, and the copper industry. The discussion opens with the ongoing disruption in the Strait of Hormuz and its profound implications for global energy supplies. Hunt explains that Saudi Arabia is attempting to broker a new regional architecture involving China, Russia, Pakistan, and Turkey, partly in response to Iran’s demonstrated military capabilities. He assesses only a fifty percent chance of success, warning that even if a ceasefire is reached, reopening the strait to normal traffic could take months, and oil stockpiles in Asia, Europe, and America may be exhausted by mid-July. This supply crunch, he argues, makes a global recession nearly certain by year-end, deepening significantly in the following year. The conversation shifts to China’s strategic positioning. Hunt notes that China anticipated American geopolitical moves and has diversified its energy sources through pipelines from Russia and Kazakhstan, alongside massive domestic coal and renewable capacity. This allows China to withstand the Hormuz closure indefinitely, unlike Western nations. The discussion then turns to the evolving global monetary order, where Hunt describes a BRICS-led effort to create a multipolar system anchored in physical gold. He details China’s construction of Shanghai Gold Exchange vaults in Saudi Arabia and Hong Kong, enabling trade settlement in non-G7 currencies convertible to gold. While he sees gold prices reaching double-digit thousands in five years, he cautions that America is unlikely to revalue its gold reserves and warns of potential government confiscation during crises. On commodities, Hunt challenges the prevailing supercycle narrative, calling it premature. He predicts that a deep recession will cause physical demand to collapse, outweighing current supply constraints. He specifically highlights copper, noting that NVIDIA’s shift to photonics could eliminate copper from data centers by 2028, undermining a key demand thesis. Strategic stockpiling of critical minerals by governments will eventually follow, but processing capacity remains a bottleneck controlled by China. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:00 – Middle East Conflict Origins 00:03:46 – New Gulf Security Architecture 00:06:05 – Oil Supply Disruption Impacts 00:08:06 – Straits of Hormuz Reopening 00:08:37 – China Trump Trade Dynamics 00:12:25 – Oil Prices Futures Disparity 00:14:14 – Fertilizer and Food Crisis 00:16:10 – BRICS Monetary System Shift 00:22:51 – Bond Yields and Instability 00:25:02 – Recession Outlook and Assets 00:30:40 – Commodity Supercycle Analysis 00:33:00 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: E-Mail: mailto:simon@shss.com Website: https://simon-hunt.com/ Report: https://www.theinstitutionalstrategist.com/products-and-services/frontline-china/ Simon Hunt began his career in 1956 in Central Africa as a PA to the Chairman of Rhodesian Selection Trust, one of the two large copper companies in what was then Northern Rhodesia, now Zambia. In 1961, he came back to London and joined Anglo American Corporation of South Africa as a PA to one of the Board Directors, followed by being part of a small sales and marketing team for copper. From there, he helped start up a new copper development organization, CIDEC, financed by copper producers, which he then joined, focusing on conducting end-use studies of copper in Europe. He then went into the City to gain financial experience and founded Brook Hunt in 1975. He was instrumental in setting up the company’s cost studies and end-use analyses. Simon appeared as material witness and consultant in two ITC anti-dumping cases in 1978 and 1984, winning both at the commission level. He has spent 2-4 months every year in China since 1993, and until a few years ago would be visiting some 80 wire and cable and brass mill factories across the country every year. He now restricts these factory visits to a smaller number, all of which he has known for many years. Simon also spends many weeks each year traveling around Asia. The focus of the company’s services is on the global economy, including the changing geopolitical and financial structures, China’s economy and its copper sector, and then the global copper industry as each part is interconnected. Simon is the author of the “Frontline China Report Service,” which is marketed by the TIS Group. The Service provides regular reports on China’s economy, politics, and financial outlook. Simon established this company in January 1996.

May 20, 202657 min

Mining Stock Monkey: ‘No End In Sight’ for Fiat Crisis, Fertilizers, Oil & Gold

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Mining Stock Monkey to the show. The discussion centers on navigating the current commodity cycle with a disciplined, downside-protection-first approach. He emphasizes that while structural tailwinds like electrification, AI infrastructure, and global poverty reduction support a broad commodities bull market, selectivity is critical. He starts by identifying historically cheap commodities—where low prices eventually cure low prices by curbing supply and boosting demand—and then evaluates individual companies on their risk-reward profiles. Nickel tops his list, but he exclusively seeks high-grade nickel-sulfide deposits, avoiding laterite projects due to severe environmental and human rights concerns in Indonesia. Potash also appears cheap, with BHP’s delayed and over-budget Jansen mine potentially discouraging new supply; he notes producers like Nutrien and Mosaic, though he favors royalty exposure through Altius Minerals. In oil and gas, equities are undervalued at spot prices, but the futures curve points to a sharp decline, making him cautious. He prioritizes protecting against large losses, explaining that avoiding a 75% drop is far more valuable than chasing outsized gains. On precious metals, he views the gold bull market as mature after a decade-long run, yet acknowledges that endless money printing and the weaponization of the dollar could drive prices infinitely higher. He is reducing exposure to riskier gold miners and favors royalty companies like Royal Gold, citing its superior margins, built-in growth, relative undervaluation, and potential S&P 500 inclusion as key downside protections. Silver, however, raises concerns: a parabolic chart pattern and the fact that over a billion rural Asians hold silver as savings could trigger massive selling if they cash in on recent price spikes, potentially flooding the market. He also briefly notes that thermal coal’s chart resembles a classic bottoming pattern worth investigating. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:01:06 – Commodities Bull Market Outlook 00:03:40 – Identifying Cheap Commodities 00:06:37 – Attractive Commodities Nickel Oil 00:08:08 – Oil Equities and Supply Risks 00:09:50 – Downside Protection Strategy 00:16:03 – Potash Market Analysis 00:21:44 – Nickel Sulphide Deposits 00:25:40 – Gold Markets Currently 00:30:52 – Miners & Risk/Reward 00:36:12 – Finding Value In Miners 00:42:07 – Junior Explorers & Developers 00:47:05 – Silver Market Thoughts 00:53:57 – Thermal Coal 00:54:48 – Concluding Thoughts Guest Links: YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/@MiningStockMonkey Website: https://miningstockmonkey.com/products/vip X: https://x.com/miningstockguy Substack: https://miningstockmonkey.substack.com Jordan is an independent resource investor and the founder of Mining Stock Monkey. He shares his personal portfolio, dynamic valuation models, and in-depth research with a growing audience of serious investors. His approach is uncompromisingly independent: no corporate sponsors, no investment banking fees, and no hidden agendas. Jordan invests his own capital and transparently shares exactly what he is buying and selling, along with the proprietary valuation models and research that drive his decisions. If you’re an asset manager, family office, or high-net-worth investor looking for authentic, high-conviction resource opportunities, you can access Jordan’s real-time portfolio and join a private community of like-minded investors here: https://miningstockmonkey.com/products/vip

May 16, 202656 min

Michael Oliver: Silver’s Meteoric Rise to $500, Government Debt Crisis & Gold’s Remonetization

Stijn Schmitz welcomes Michael Oliver to the show. Michael Oliver is Momentum Structural Analysis MSA. Oliver argues that a major government bond crisis is quietly underway, driven by unsustainable debt levels in the US and other developed nations. He contends that the T-bond market is on the verge of breaking down to new price lows, an event largely ignored by mainstream financial media but one that could trigger a panic. This looming crisis, he believes, will force central banks into aggressive money printing to defend government bonds, which in turn will act as rocket fuel for gold and silver. Oliver explains that gold’s long-term rise is not due to transient geopolitical uncertainty but rather the ongoing degradation of fiat currencies through relentless monetary expansion. He sees the stock market as bloated and in the process of forming a major top, similar to the dot-com and mortgage crisis peaks. When equities eventually falter, capital will flee into hard assets, propelling precious metals into a vertical, “wet bar of soap” phase where everyone scrambles to buy. Silver, which recently broke out of a 50-year price range, is poised for dramatic gains. Oliver projects a move to $300–$500 per ounce, representing hundreds of percent in returns, vastly outpacing gold. He also highlights precious metals miners as an especially attractive opportunity, noting their historically low valuations relative to gold and their potential to double rapidly once they break out on a relative performance basis. Beyond precious metals, Oliver sees a broader commodity supercycle emerging, with oil, grains, and base metals all in technical positions to advance significantly. He advises a long-term, non-leveraged approach to the commodity complex as an asset class shift unfolds. Overall, Oliver’s momentum-based analysis points to an imminent, explosive revaluation of hard assets, urging investors to position themselves before the government bond crisis becomes front-page news. Timestamps: 00:00:00 – Introduction 00:00:41 – Gold and Fiat Money Dynamics 00:03:09 – Government Bond Crisis Warning 00:03:43 – T-Bond Technical Analysis 00:08:46 – Structural Bond Market Trends 00:20:02 – Gold Bull Market Cadence 00:32:37 – Silver Price Forecast 00:37:36 – Silver Outperformance Potential 00:41:16 – Precious Metals Miners Outlook 00:46:48 – Selecting Individual Miners 00:50:23 – Broader Commodity Opportunities 00:54:42 – Closing and Resources Guest Links: Website: http://www.olivermsa.com/ X: https://twitter.com/Oliver_MSA Amazon Book: https://tinyurl.com/y2roa7p5 Email: mailto:michaeloliver@olivermsa.com Email MSA above, and they will send you this week’s report for free, which covers many of the topics from this interview. J. Michael Oliver entered the financial services industry in 1975 on the Futures side, joining E.F. Hutton’s International Commodity Division, headquartered in New York City’s Battery Park. He studied under David Johnston, head of Hutton’s Commodity Division and Chairman of the COMEX. In the 1980s, Mike began to develop his proprietary momentum-based method of technical analysis. He learned early on that orthodox price chart technical analysis left many unanswered questions and too often deceived those who trusted in price chart breakouts, support/resistance, and so forth. In 1987 Mike technically anticipated and caught the Crash. It was then that he decided to develop his structural momentum tools into a full analytic methodology. In 1992, the Financial VP and head of Wachovia Bank’s Trust Department asked Mike to provide soft dollar research to Wachovia. Within a year, Mike shifted from brokerage to full-time technical analysis. He is also the author of The New Libertarianism: Anarcho-Capitalism.

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