Newsquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

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Jun 2026

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Get up to speed with everything you need to know ahead of today's open with the Newsquawk rundown

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June 16, 20262 min

US Market Open: Oil, USD hit on Qatar LNG reporting, JPY and AUD unreactive to as-expected BoJ/RBA

The BoJ hiked rates to 1.00%, as expected, while the RBA left rates unchanged at 4.35% following three consecutive 25bp rate hikes. Qatar is to restore half of its LNG output a month after the Strait of Hormuz opens, with output to reach 80% of full output within two months.US equity futures are mixed, while SPCX (+10.2% pre-market) looks set to surpass AMZN's market cap.DXY softer amid pressure in energy prices; JPY and AUD flat following rate announcements.Fixed income benchmarks are broadly higher, while JGBs fell as the BoJ paused purchase tapering from FY27.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly, Import/Export Prices (May), Housing Starts (May), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Speakers including ECB's Lane, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

June 16, 20261 min

EU Market Open: Europe set for quiet open, JPY and AUD unreactive to as-expected policy meetings; Uchida ahead

US President Trump said the Hormuz deal is fully signed and that the Strait of Hormuz has already partially reopened, with a complete reopening expected on Friday.The US claim that Lebanon is not included in the memorandum of understanding is false, reports Fars, citing sources.Israeli artillery shelling was reported in southern Lebanon, while it was also reported that Hezbollah fired rockets at Israeli soldiers in the region.APAC stocks were mixed, cooling from the relief rally seen on Monday; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly lower open.DXY is a touch firmer and trades around 99.70; JPY incrementally gains post-BoJ, which delivered a 25bps hike, as expected. The Aussie was little moved by the RBA's hawkish hold.Looking ahead, highlights include Italian Inflation Final (May), EU/German ZEW (Jun), US ADP Weekly, Import/Export Prices (May), Housing Starts (May), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Speakers including RBA's Bullock, BoJ's Uchida & ECB's Lane, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

June 15, 20262 min

US Market Open: Risk assets rally as energy benchmarks soften on US-Iran framework peace agreement

The US and Iran have reached a framework peace agreement; the US will lift its naval blockade, whilst the Iranians will reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Pakistani PM suggested it would be signed in person on Friday, 19th June; Brent Aug’26 -4.5%.The deal includes the termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon. Israel's Katz said that they would not withdraw from Lebanon. US equity futures bid amid the constructive risk tone; NQ +1.9% DXY pressured as markets pare hawkish Fed pricing, ahead of Fed Chair Warsh's first meeting.Fixed income benchmarks firmer but off best levels, as yield curves bull steepen.Looking ahead, highlights include US Industrial/Manufacturing Production (May).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

June 15, 20262 min

EU Market Open: Risk assets rally as Brent slips to $83 on US-Iran framework peace agreement

The US and Iran have reached a framework peace agreement; the US will lift its naval blockade, whilst the Iranians will reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Pakistani PM suggested it would be signed in person on Friday, 19th June; Brent Aug’26 -4.3%.The deal includes the termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon; Israel has yet to comment on the latest deal.Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister said talks are contingent on the release of assets and the lifting of sanctions; though a US official pushed back on the unconditional fund release, stating that any release is tied to a pay-for-performance deal.APAC stocks rallied following the US-Iran deal announcement; European equity futures are indicative of a strong open.DXY pressured back towards the 99.40 level; Antipodeans outperform given the risk tone.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Prices (May), EU Industrial Production (Apr), US Industrial/Manufacturing Production (May), and comments from ECB's Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

June 12, 20262 min

US Market Open: Crude benchmarks hit on Mehr MoU reporting, equities bid into SPCX debut

Iran's Mehr News reports that the US-Iran MoU includes the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, lifting oil sanctions, and releasing frozen Iranian funds. The draft is still being reviewed. Brent -4.1%.The US and Iran deal signing could occur around the June G7 meeting in Geneva (June 15th - 17th).Global equities gain on the constructive risk tone, SPCX set to debut today.DXY rangebound, EUR holds above 1.1580 despite somewhat conflicting ECB reports. Fixed income benchmarks benefit from the softer energy prices.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Wholesale Sales (Apr), US UoM Prelim. (Jun) & SpaceX Debut.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

June 12, 20261 min

EU Market Open: Europe set for firm open with Brent below $90/bbl, SpaceX ahead

US President Trump said we made a great settlement of war with Iran, signing will probably happen in Europe and soon; Brent -2.0% at USD 88.50/bbl.Israel is not a party to the MOU, though PM Netanyahu expressed his appreciation to the US' commitment, CBS reported. Iran is reportedly yet to come to a final conclusion on the deal.APAC stocks rallied in a continuation of the strength from Wall St. on the settlement report and despite the Israeli & Iran reporting.European futures point to a firmer open, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.7%. US futures are also bid, ES & NQ +0.2%, looking to the SPCX IPO.FX moved to the above, currently features a firmer USD to the detriment of NZD and JPY in particular. Fixed income holds onto gains.Looking ahead, highlights include German/French/Spanish HICP Final (May), UK GDP (Apr), Industrial Production (Apr), Canadian Wholesale Sales (Apr), US UoM Prelim. (Jun), SpaceX Debut & COO Interview.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

June 11, 20262 min

US Market Open: Energy benchmarks weaker as US-Iran diplomacy continues, ECB and US PPI due

The US and Iran exchanged another round of strikes overnight, resulting in Iran announcing the complete closure of the Strait of Hormuz, effective immediately, and threatening to hit any vessel crossing the Hormuz.However, an Iranian source told Reuters that Iran and the US are still in negotiations over a preliminary deal, which includes a mechanism for unfreezing funds. US equity futures pare Wednesday's losses ahead of SPCX IPO pricing.DXY flips across the 100.00 handle; EUR muted ahead of ECB policy announcement.Fixed income muted, US 10yr remains above 4.50% with PPI ahead. Crude futures reverse earlier gains amid positive reports of continued US-Iran negotiations.Looking ahead, highlights include US PPI (May), Jobless Claims (May/30), ECB Policy Announcement (Jun), CBRT Policy Announcement (Jun), OPEC MOMR (Jun), Comments from ECB President Lagarde, Supply from the US and Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

June 11, 20262 min

EU Market Open: Europe primed for lower open amid tech worries/geopolitics; ECB and US PPI due

US CENTCOM launched fresh strikes on multiple targets in Iran, which have since been “completed”. In retaliation, Iran struck 18 US military targets in two waves, and multiple explosions were reported at US bases in Kuwait and Bahrain.Speaking on Wednesday (US time), US President Trump stated that Iran must choose between war or a new deal and warned, “we'll bomb them to rubble tomorrow night” if there is no deal.Iran said the Strait of Hormuz was declared closed to the passage of any type of vessel, including all tankers and commercial vessels. However, the US rejected this claim, adding that transit was continuing through the Strait.Crude benchmarks gained on the US strikes, but have since most of the overnight advances given Trump had warned to hit Iran in advance, and after CENTCOM said the latest strikes had been completed. Brent Aug’26 +0.6%.APAC stocks extended lower; European equity futures are indicative of a weak open.DXY is slightly lower heading into US PPI, whilst G10s post mild gains.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF Final (May), US PPI (May), Jobless Claims (May/30), ECB Policy Announcement (Jun), CBRT Policy Announcement (Jun), OPEC MOMR (Jun), Comments from ECB President Lagarde, Supply from UK, Italy & US, Earnings from Adobe.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

June 10, 20262 min

US Market Open: Quiet trade into US CPI, Crude/DXY flat, equities lower

US launched fresh strikes on Iran in response to Monday’s downing of an Apache helicopter; the mission was a “proportional response” to Iranian aggression, while President Trump called it “very strong and powerful”.Iran responded with attacks on US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan; Brent Aug’26 U/C.A White House senior official said nothing has changed in their position regarding an agreement with Iran, and it is still close despite the strikes.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Baghaei says they need to reassess, following the overnight clashes, when questioned on talks with the US, SNN reports.US equity futures extend lower and currently reside at lows; NQ -1.2% underperforms.DXY is incrementally lower into US CPI; USD/JPY choppy on reports that BoJ Governor Ueda is in hospital and will not attend the June meeting.Global fixed benchmarks are slightly lower in quiet trade, US paper awaits data and a 10yr auction.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (May), BoC Policy Announcement (Jun), Speakers including BoC’s Macklem, Supply from the US, Earnings from Oracle.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

June 10, 20262 min

EU Market Open: Europe primed for quiet open despite further US-Iran strikes, US CPI ahead

US launched fresh strikes on Iran in response to Monday’s downing of an Apache helicopter; the mission was a “proportional response” to Iranian aggression, while President Trump called it “very strong and powerful”.Iran responded with attacks on US bases in Bahrain, Kuwait and Jordan; Brent Aug’26 +0.1%.A White House senior official said nothing has changed in their position regarding an agreement with Iran, and it is still close despite the strikes.US and Iran had reportedly narrowed negotiations to four core nuclear issues in the days before the latest flare-ups, NYT reported.APAC stocks were mostly lower amidst geopolitical strikes and mixed Chinese CPI; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly weaker open.DXY is incrementally lower into US CPI, G10s are mixed against the USD, with the Aussie slightly underperforming.Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian CPI (May), Swedish GDP (Apr), US CPI (May), BoC Policy Announcement (Jun), Speakers including BoC’s Macklem, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from Oracle.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk