Michael Knox, Morgans Chief Economist

Why Australia Is Likely Facing More Rate Hikes Than Expected

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has lifted the cash rate by 25 basis points at its latest meeting, signalling the start of a more prolonged tightening cycle. While many economists believe the RBA will need only two more rate hikes, Michael Knox argues that this view does not account for structural inflation pressures already building within the Australian economy.His modelling and economic analysis suggest the real requirement is at least four rate hikes before inflation begins to ease.

Why Higher Power Costs Could Trigger RBA Rate Hikes

In this episode, Michael Knox and Stephen Austin from the ABC unpack the economic challenges Australia faces in 2025. With electricity subsidies ending and energy supply constraints persisting, households are bracing for higher power bills and rising inflation. Here’s what’s on the horizon:

Beware The US Shutdown - Michael Knox

Beginning on the 1st of October 2025, the US government began its current Federal government shutdown.The shutdown occurred because Democratic Party Senators refused to support a Continuing Resolution to provide funding for the US government. At the time of writing, Republican Senators have now put up Continuing Resolutions for funding to the Senate 11 times, and Democrat Senators have refused to support them 11 times.

September 10 - A Comparative Outlook on the Fed and RBA - Michael Knox

Forecasting RBA Moves - Why Import Prices and Quarterly CPI Matter

On 7 July the AFR published a list of 37 Economists who had answered a poll on when the RBA would next cut rates. 32 of them thought that the RBA would cut on 8 July. Only 5 of them did not believe the RBA would cut on 8 July. I was one of them. The RBA did not cut.

Why RBA Rate Cuts Must Wait | Michael Knox, Morgans Chief Economist

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says that for the RBA to get inflation down to 2.5%, unemployment must rise above 4.5% in Australia.Check out more from Morgans:Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.auCheck out our latest articles: https://morgans.com.au/insightsOn Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAUOn Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans.AustraliaOn Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

FED Eases Quantitative Tightening | Michael Knox, Morgans Chief Economist

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox says that though the FED are easing quantitative tightening, US consumer demand is still too healthy to allow rate cuts.Check out more from Morgans:Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.auCheck out our latest articles: https://morgans.com.au/insightsOn Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAUOn Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans.AustraliaOn Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

US GROWTH – Just where the Fed Needs It | Michael Knox, Morgans Chief Economist

Our Model of US GDP says steady growth just below trend. Just where the Fed needs it to keep US Inflation falling.Check out more from Morgans:Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.auCheck out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/BlogOn Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAUOn Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans.AustraliaOn Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Still Room For FED Rate Cuts | Michael Knox, Morgans Chief Economist

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox gives an update on the Fed Funds and the RBA Cash Rate. Check out more from Morgans:Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.auCheck out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/BlogOn Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAUOn Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans.AustraliaOn Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU

Big US budget deficit is driving the stock market higher | Michael Knox, Morgans Chief Economist

Strong corporate profits drive corporate yields lower and stock prices higher.Check out more from Morgans:Visit the Morgans website: www.morgans.com.auCheck out our blog: www.morgans.com.au/BlogOn Facebook: www.facebook.com/MorgansAUOn Instagram: www.instagram.com/Morgans.AustraliaOn Twitter: twitter.com/MorgansAU