Know Your Risk Podcast

Hosted by Know Your Risk Radio

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493

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Aug 2026

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About the show

Do you know how much risk your retirement portfolio is actually exposed to? Whether it’s preservation of capital or an aggressive growth strategy, every investor needs a clearly defined RISK PROFILE. Host Zach Abraham, Chief Investment Officer at Bulwark Capital Management, will cover all types of investment vehicles and you’ll learn what investing looks like when portfolios aren’t influenced by the corporate objectives of the big banks and Wall Street brokerage houses. Subscribe to the podcast here. The opinions expressed in this program are for general informational purposes only and are not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual or on any specific security. To determine which investments may be appropriate for you, consult your financial advisor prior to investing. Any past performance discussed during this program is no guarantee of future results. Any indices referenced for comparison are unmanaged and cannot be invested into directly. Any references to performance of securities are thought to be materially accurate and actual performance may differ. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital; please seek advice from a licensed professional. Investment advice cannot be given without a client service agreement. Bulwark Capital Management is an Investment Adviser Representative of Trek Financial, LLC., an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. bulwarkcapitalmgmt.com/disclosures/

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August 21, 202655 min

America Has a Much Bigger Problem Than Interest Rates

August 21, 2026 - Zach Abraham and Chase Taylor discuss why the Treasury's increasingly visible concern about long-term interest rates may be exposing a much deeper problem with U.S. debt, deficits and economic policy. They examine why attempts to suppress bond yields could ultimately lead to more monetary intervention, what rising oil and inflation pressures mean for policymakers, and why decades of short-term thinking have left the U.S. increasingly vulnerable in everything from government finances to energy, manufacturing and defense. Plus, Zach and Chase discuss geopolitical risks surrounding Iran and Russia, the growing importance of real assets, and why the traditional investment playbook may be increasingly mismatched with the world investors actually face.

August 20, 202619 min

Inflation Is Starting to Break the Consumer

August 20, 2026 - Chase Taylor discusses why weakening results from Walmart may be an important warning about the American consumer as inflation continues to erode real purchasing power. Chase also examines the rapid reversal of the Treasury's bond-market intervention, rising oil and agricultural prices, why he believes policymakers may eventually be forced toward a larger liquidity response, the shift toward economic warfare with Iran, and an intriguing change in China's approach to trade and global influence.

August 19, 202623 min

The Treasury Just Blinked. Here’s What Comes Next

August 19, 2026 - Chase Taylor discusses the Treasury's unexpected move to increase buybacks of longer-duration bonds and why he believes it sends a much bigger signal than the size of the program itself. Chase explains why policymakers may be moving toward suppressing long-term yields, what that could mean for the dollar, inflation and precious metals, and why today's relatively small intervention could eventually lead to something much larger. He also examines the tension between the Fed's inflation strategy, rising energy costs and a bond market policymakers may no longer be willing to let tighten financial conditions on its own.

August 18, 202621 min

The Inflation Problem Nobody Is Watching Yet

August 18, 2026 - Chase Taylor discusses why soaring diesel costs may become a much bigger inflation problem than markets or policymakers are anticipating. He explains how diesel flows through transportation, agriculture, construction, home services and supply chains—and why rising freight costs could eventually show up in prices far beyond the gas station. Chase also examines pressure from oil and long-term interest rates, renewed stress across the AI trade, escalating tensions involving Iran and the UAE, and why today's combination of strong nominal growth and rising transportation costs could make inflation increasingly difficult to ignore.

August 17, 202616 min

The Iran Risk Markets Aren’t Prepared For

August 17, 2026 - Chase Taylor discusses a risk surrounding Iran and global energy markets that he believes investors may be overlooking: whether Iran could attempt to break the blockade through force as economic pressure continues to build. Chase also examines oil's latest breakout, rising long-term Treasury yields, deteriorating Chinese economic data, the potential for Chinese stimulus, and the continued drawdown of the Strategic Petroleum Reserve—and why the eventual end of those releases could dramatically tighten an already stressed global oil market.

August 14, 202657 min

The Biggest Investment Opportunity May Be the One You're Ignoring

August 14, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why some of the most interesting investment opportunities may be hiding outside today's most crowded trades. They explore the enormous demographic shift created by an aging population, second- and third-order effects from GLP-1 drugs, healthcare and medical technology, and why powerful macro trends can matter more than chasing whatever is currently making headlines. They also discuss weakening retail sales, historically low volatility, Bill Ackman's latest portfolio move, and the concentration risk created by OpenAI and Anthropic's enormous role in the AI spending ecosystem.

August 13, 202657 min

Zach Is Turning Bullish… So What Could Go Wrong?

August 13, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why the stock market may have room for another leg higher despite many of the risks they've been warning about—and what could derail it. They break down cooling inflation data, the possibility that inflation returns, surprising performance beneath the surface of the AI trade, hyperscaler spending, China's increasingly competitive industrial economy, and an overlooked energy dynamic that could leave consumers paying dramatically more for fuel even without an enormous move in crude oil.

August 12, 202642 min

The Most Dangerous Thing an Investor Can Believe

August 12, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss why one of the most valuable skills in investing may be the willingness to admit when you're wrong—and why political identity, ideology and confirmation bias can make that increasingly difficult. They also break down the latest developments around Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, why a prolonged stalemate could actually increase Iran's incentive to escalate, Washington State's tax debate, the federal deficit, Berkshire Hathaway's post-Buffett capital allocation, and another unusual day across AI, semiconductors and volatility.

August 12, 20261 hr 13 min

Aviel Ginzburg: What Everyone Is Getting Wrong About the AI Boom

August 12, 2026 - Zach Abraham sits down with tech founder and investor Aviel Ginzburg for a wide-ranging conversation about what investors may be getting wrong about artificial intelligence. Aviel explains why AI can simultaneously produce a massive financial bubble and a genuine technological revolution, where he sees the biggest bottlenecks and opportunities, why billion-dollar AI investments can become obsolete astonishingly quickly, and how dramatically the technology is already changing software development. Later, Zach and Aviel turn to Washington State's proposed income tax, the state's changing business climate, and why Aviel believes the consequences could eventually extend well beyond millionaires.

August 11, 202641 min

The AI Boom Is Running Into a Math Problem

August 11, 2026 - Zach and Chase discuss the increasingly difficult math behind the AI buildout as projected infrastructure spending climbs into the trillions, while the productivity gains needed to justify that investment remain far less obvious. They also break down escalating attacks on global oil infrastructure, why Iran may be content to let the current standoff drag on, tomorrow's potentially important inflation print, rising long-term Treasury yields, the Fort Knox gold debate, and why soaring equity valuations may encourage corporate America to unleash a wave of new stock issuance.