
Lawrence Hamtil: The Farmer Mentality, Software's Cycle, and Investing with Irreplaceable Capital
Todd sits down with Lawrence Hamtil, principal at Fortune Financial Advisors in Kansas, for a wide-ranging conversation on what it means to manage other people's money responsibly in a market fixated on AI and mega-cap momentum. Lawrence shares why a sector-neutral, roughly equal-weighted approach has served his clients well across cycles, how he thinks about position sizing as a fiduciary, and why he'd rather apologize for underperforming in a bull market than blow up a client's irreplaceable capital.The conversation also digs into the AI spending cycle and its parallels to the China commodity super-cycle of the 2000s, the bear and bull cases for software stocks after their massive multiple compression, and why the economics of AI monetization remain genuinely uncertain. Plus: what Midwestern roots actually mean for investment temperament, the fictional writers who shaped Lawrence's worldview, and why you won't be vibe coding the avionics on a Boeing 777 anytime soon.Topics covered: minimum volatility investing, equal-weighted portfolios, fiduciary risk management, AI capex cycle, software valuations, sector-neutral portfolio construction, Midwest investing culture, and more.Lawrence can be found on X at @lhamtil and at fortunefinancialadvisors.com. He also co-hosts the Preferred Shares podcast.



