
Doomberg and the New Oil and Gas Markets Post Hormuz
Doomberg stops by, and we solve the global oil crisis. We did not really solve the world’s oil problems, but boy, we sure covered them.In this Energy Newsbeat podcast episode, hosts Stu Turley and Doomberg dive deep into the interconnected crises reshaping global energy markets and geopolitics. From contested claims about oil flowing through the Strait of Hormuz to Putin’s stranglehold on European natural gas supplies, the conversation reveals how misinformation, geopolitical brinkmanship, and exponential technological change are colliding to create unprecedented uncertainty.Against this backdrop of energy scarcity and conflict, the hosts explore how artificial intelligence is driving explosive new demand for power, forcing a reckoning between renewable energy mandates and grid reliability. Through sharp analysis and candid debate, they argue that understanding energy flows—and who controls them—is essential to predicting everything from European political upheaval to the viability of AI infrastructure investments. It’s a masterclass in connecting the dots between commodity markets, military strategy, and the future of human civilization.Check out Doomberg.com https://newsletter.doomberg.com/Shout-out to Dave, one of our great subscribers, for commenting on the live feed.1. Global Oil Markets & The Strait of HormuzThe hosts debate conflicting information about oil flow through the Strait of Hormuz, with Chris Wright (Secretary of Energy) claiming 9 million barrels per day are flowing through. They discuss how market prices haven't responded as expected, suggesting either the market is efficiently pricing in a long-term U.S. siege against Iran, or there's misinformation in circulation. The conversation emphasizes that pipelines are being built to bypass the strait, making it increasingly irrelevant.2. Houthi Attacks & Alternative Shipping RoutesDiscussion of Houthi attacks on commercial ships in the Bab el-Mandab Strait, reducing flow to less than 1 million barrels per day. They note the phrase "Houthis in the blow ships" and question whether reported attacks are actually occurring or if misinformation is prevalent.3. Ukraine War & European Energy CrisisA major focus is an upcoming Doomberg article about how Putin controls Europe's energy future through natural gas. Key points include:Ukraine's loss of the air war and closing of the Black Sea port of OdessaEurope's dangerous dependency on Russian natural gas (4.5 BCF/day through Turkstream)European gas storage at only 59% capacity (vs. 83% in 2023)If Russia cuts off gas supplies, Europe could lose 40% of its storage capacityThe precarious position of European leadership (Ursula von der Leyen, Macron, Mertz) who may need to be replaced for political solutions4. Turkey's Strategic PositionTurkey's role as a NATO member while maintaining relationships with Russia and Iran, controlling the Turkish Straits, and serving as a potential energy hub between the Middle East and Europe. Discussion of Erdogan's health and political stability.5. U.S. Grid Reliability & Data Center DemandJPMorgan's warnings about rolling blackouts driven by:Accelerating AI demandForced installation of intermittent renewablesData centers requiring massive powerComparison between Texas (abundant natural gas, allowing data center growth) and New York (restrictive policies)The concept of "natural gas pods"—data centers with gas input and data output6. AI & Exponential GrowthA philosophical discussion on:Ray Kurzweil's "The Singularity is Near" and exponential technological growthAI model doubling time shrinking to approximately 3 months (trending toward daily improvements)The "human endeavor is infinite compute" as a strong predictive mental modelComparison to the Weimar hyperinflation period to illustrate the power of exponential trendsWhy skepticism about AI data center ROI is misplaced, similar to early shale gas skepticism7. Liberty Energy & Shale Gas in AustraliaBrief mention of Liberty Energy's expansion into Australian shale gas drilling, presented as a "tell" of emerging opportunities.8. Upcoming Doomberg ContentAnnouncement of a company deep dive on Chevron, examining its global operations, business model, and various investment exposure options.The podcast emphasizes how interconnected global energy markets are and how geopolitical decisions (particularly Putin's control of energy supplies) have cascading effects on everything from European stability to U.S. grid reliability and AI infrastructure development.The podcast has rolled over 3 million podcast listens on Apple and Spotify, and Doomberg's last episode was well over 110K - let's see how this one does. A shout-out to Steve Reese and the Reese Energy Consulting group for sponsoring the Podcast https://reeseenergyconsulting.com/.Data2 if you have any business systems, can you trust A? Well, they have the patent on validation. . https://data2.zoholandingpage.com/energyAnd we have WellDatabase rolling in as a new sponsor. https://welldatabase.com/










