Oil Markets, Diesel, Canadian Heavy Discounts and Pipelines
In this week's podcast, Peter and Jackie discuss global oil and diesel markets, the government’s role in major infrastructure projects, including the Pacific Link pipeline, and widening Canadian heavy oil discounts. Escalating conflict in the Middle East has raised oil prices and renewed concerns over supply. Wars in the Middle East and Russia have also constrained refining capacity, tightening diesel supplies. With affordability and the US midterm elections in focus, Peter and Jackie discuss President Trump’s efforts to lower diesel prices. For now, the prospect of a US diesel export ban has receded. On October 15, the IEA announced plans to release 20 million barrels of diesel, while Trump agreed to purchase a relatively small volume of diesel from Russia, raising concerns about broader sanctions relief without concessions on the war in Ukraine. Next, they discuss Peter’s article in The Hub, “Why Canada must put public dollars behind big infrastructure.” He argues that conventional financial analysis undervalues infrastructure’s generational benefits, including energy security, market access and economic sovereignty, which can extend over 50 to 100 years and may only be fully recognized by governments. Finally, they examine the roughly US$26/B spot discount for WCS relative to WTI, driven by Western Canadian pipelines nearing capacity, Venezuelan competition in the US Gulf Coast (USGC), and high tanker rates that make re-exports of Canadian oil from the USGC costly. These discounts underscore the value of additional West Coast oil pipeline capacity. Content referenced in this podcast: The IEA October 15 statement on releasing over 20 million barrels of diesel as soon as possible. Morningstar, “Surging Middle East Shipping Costs Widen Global Oil Price Gaps, Goldman Says” (Oct 13, 2026) The Hub, Peter Tertzakian, “Why Canada must put public dollars behind big infrastructure.” (October 9, 2026) Reuters, “Soaring freight rates threaten Asia's appetite for US Crude” (October 8, 2026) Studio.Energy, “Latest Developments in Canada’s Market Hostage Situation” (October 9, 2026) Please review our disclaimer at: https://www.arcenergyinstitute.com/disclaimer/ Check us out on social media: X (Twitter): @arcenergyinst LinkedIn: @ARC Energy Research Institute Subscribe to ARC Energy Ideas Podcast Apple Podcasts Amazon Music Spotify YouTube YouTube Music






