
#337: Underwriting Multifamily Real Estate Boils Down To Evaluating TWO Numbers... Revisiting the Fundamentals Of Multifamily Investing
In this solo back-to-basics episode, Axel steps away from the AI and current events conversations that have dominated recent episodes to refocus on the real estate underwriting process. He breaks down the entire game of value creation in real estate into one simple equation, using clear numeric examples that any investor can apply regardless of asset class or market.Axel walks through the three-step framework for quality real estate investing: finding an undervalued deal, assessing whether continued investment can generate a meaningful spread over your all-in cost, and financing the deal in a way that matches the business plan. This episode is essential listening for any investor — new or experienced — who wants a clear, simplified gut-check framework for evaluating whether a deal actually creates value, independent of rent growth projections or cap rate compression assumptions.Join us as we dive into:Why understanding the current market cap rate for your specific asset class and submarket is the non-negotiable starting point for any underwriting exercise.How to interpret that 9% yield on cost depending on whether the market cap rate is 9% (no value created) or 7% (significant value created).Why Axel and his team target an 8.5%+ yield on cost in a 7% cap environment — a 150 basis point spread — across Southern New Hampshire and the Greater Boston periphery.Why the same 150 basis point spread creates more value in a lower cap rate market than a wider spread does in a higher cap rate market.Why a deal with a 12% yield on cost in a 10% cap market actually creates less value than a deal with a 6.5% yield on cost in a 5% cap market, despite the spread looking similar.How to gut-check a multi-year cash flow model: calculate your yield on cost at stabilization and compare it against the market cap rate at that point in the hold period.Why a thin or non-existent spread between yield on cost and market cap rate signals that your returns are dependent on rent growth or cap rate compression — both riskier bets than underwriting a real spread on day one.Are you looking to invest in real estate, but don't want to deal with the hassle of finding great deals, signing on debt, and managing tenants? Aligned Real Estate Partners provides investment opportunities to passive investors looking for the returns, stability, and tax benefits multifamily real estate offers, but without the work - join our investor club to be notified of future investment opportunities.Connect with Axel:Follow him on InstagramConnect with him on LinkedinSubscribe to our YouTube channelLearn more about Aligned Real Estate Partners












