
Rise of the machines | AI, earnings and where markets go next
The mood is sombre: a cost-of-living crisis, interest rates are rising, war with Iran and fears that AI might kill us all. Yet beneath the gloom, core inflation is easing, New Zealand’s economy is growing, and earnings at America’s largest companies are on course to rise by a remarkable 30% this year. The steam engine remade transport, electricity lit our cities, and the internet put the world in our pockets. AI may be the next general-purpose technology, reshaping how we live and work, including at NZ Funds. But how much of its promise is already priced into markets, and how much is yet to come? Drawing on NZ Funds’ H2 2026 Investment Outlook, Chief Investment Officer Mark Brooks and Investment Strategist James Grigor weigh the risks against the rewards, consider what America’s midterm elections may mean, and explain how NZ Funds is positioning client portfolios for the road ahead - which, as ever, is unlikely to be a straight line.

