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The Mixtape with Scott

The Mixtape with Scott

Hosted by scott cunningham

BusinessCareersScienceInterviews guests

Episodes

149

Latest episode

Jun 2026

Language

EN

About the show

The Mixtape with Scott is a podcast in which economist and professor, Scott Cunningham, interviews economists, scientists and authors about their lives and careers, as well as the some of their work. He tries to travel back in time with his guests to listen and hear their stories before then talking with them about topics they care about now. causalinf.substack.com

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60 recent
June 9, 20261 hr 32 min

Episode 13: Finally the Continuous Diff-in-Diff Estimator Shows Up!

Caitlin and I are back after a one week hiatus as we each ran around traveling in our respective parts of the world. Probably for the best, as it allowed two weeks of twoway fixed effects decompositions to marinate. But now it’s time — can we finally see what a continuous treatment difference-in-differences estimator actually is for goodness sake? And the answer is sort of!In this episode, me and Caitlin wrap up a walk through of what parameters we are identifying with our abortion-marriage paper. I was really puzzled to be honest in the last episode as to what a “dose” even meant in our context. As you may recall, we are studying the effect of House Bill 2 which caused half of Texas’s abortion clinics to close, and in turn made the distance to the nearest abortion clinic to rise. But that led us to wonder:1. Are we studying the effect of distance to the nearest clinic after House Bill 2, or2. Are we studying the effect of the change in distance to the nearest clinic after House Bill 2?So, have fun as you listen to us talk through it out and finally realize at the end that it would appear our dose must be one of those and cannot be the other due to the nature of the design and diff-in-diff itself. Hint: no anticipation places some rails on us. See if you can figure out why.But then we also dive into the continuous treatment diff-in-diff estimator. You’ll learn about splines! You’ll learn about kernels! You’ll learn about polynomials! You’ll learn about b-splines and wavelets and a bunch of other things that draw curvy lines! And you’ll learn about the one situation when you have the permission to interpret that line as a causal effect too!Thanks again for all your support! We hope you enjoy this episode!Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

May 26, 20261 hr 8 min

Episode 12: What's our causal effect called?

In one sense, causal inference has two approaches. You can run a regression and then backwards engineer what it means. Think of Imbens and Angrist's 1994 classic Econometrica on the local average treatment effect (LATE) where they show that the Wald estimator (binary treatment, binary instrument) is the average effect for the complier subpopulation. But the other way that causal inference often runs is you start with the parameter of interest, not the regression, and then build the regressions to identify them under minimal but acceptable assumptions. In this episode of the Odd Couple, we switch from estimation to description of the causal parameters introduced in Callaway, Goodman-Bacon and Sant'Anna (2026, AER). These are the well known ATT parameter, but not the ACRT, which is the slope of the dose response curve. We also puzzle over whether our treatment is, in fact, distance measured in levels or is it distance measured as changes. Which is probably one of the values of starting with parameters: it forces you to figure out what your question is!Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

May 19, 20261 hr 24 min

Episode 11: Why is our number this number?

Welcome to the 11th episode of The Mixtape with Scott, season 5, “The Odd Couple” featuring Caitlin Myers! This week we continue the riveting material from last week where we walked through a decomposition of the twoway fixed effects estimator when it’s 2 period, diff-in-diff with a continuous treatment! Yes, you heard me right — be still my beating heart. Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Me and Caitlin continue to go through this deck that Claude made for us explaining the new Callaway, Goodman-Bacon and Sant’Anna paper, forthcoming at AER, about continuous treatment diff-in-diff. Mainly, though, we are just working our way painstakingly slow through this Frisch-Waugh-Lovell decomposition of the OLS regression to better understand just what OLS is doing.I thought this episode was pretty interesting though your mileage may vary. I mean, if you don’t find two economists trying to help each other understand an econometrics paper, then probably the floor on this episode could be a little low. But that said, I did enjoy it. We both really seemed to help one another better understand the decomposition formula, plus we got to see it with our own eyes. And Claude made some really intuitive graphics that helped both of us. So check it out! As always thanks for tuning in!Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

May 12, 20261 hr 39 min

Episode 10: Doses and Decompositions!

Today will astonish and amaze because in this one, you will watch me explain the decomposition of the OLS twoway fixed effects estimator for the continuous treatment difference-in-differences! A first for podcast history I would be willing to bet! Thanks again for turning in! (Caitlin said she thought this turned out well, but your mileage may vary).Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

May 5, 202659 min

Episode 9: Mystery Solved!

This week's episode of "The Odd Couple" is just Caitlin and Hannah as I had to go to Georgetown to talk about Claude Code at a faculty retreat. But before we get going with a description, Hannah mentioned at the start during the ice breaker about the opening theme song to the podcast, and for those that don't recognize the lyrics, that's Mac Miller's "Small Worlds" sung by my two nephews. So what is this episode about? One of the themes I have been emphasizing in my talks on AI Agents and my substack is that AI Agents have caused a separation between the historic bundling of the production of research and the verification of the results. Since AI Agents are now able to produce so many aspects of the research project autonomously -- that is without much direction from the human researcher -- one of the new tasks of the researcher is to verify them. If you remember from a few weeks ago, Claude Code had nearly instantly worked up the county-level marriage data into a county panel of marriage rates and marriage counts by year. We brought Hannah Sayre, a recent college graduate and current economic consultant, into the project to help us work through the latter task of "human verification". Had Claude done it correctly? How do we verify that it is correct? And if it is not correct, why was it not correct, and how generalizable is that inaccuracy? Hannah was our eyes and ears, our boots on the ground, as she independently investigated the same question, the same task we gave Claude, to on the back end up help us determine whether Claude had indeed found the same irregularities in the original marriage dataset, and if so, what autonomous decisions had he made. And so in this episode, Hannah walks us through it, and she and Caitlin discuss both those findings, as well as begin the work of conceptualizing the process of verification in a world of AI Agents. While not definitive, this is a chance for others to hear more specifically about this. I at least anticipate that all of us will have to wrestle with verification going forward in ways we were not expecting, and maybe even are not prepared for, at least not universally, and definitely not necessarily if in fact AI Agents shrink the size of the project team members due to automation, and how best to respond to that smaller scale, and therefore, fewer people available to do the actual verification itself. Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Thanks again for tuning in! We hope you are having as much fun with this as we are! Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

April 28, 20261 hr 12 min

Episode 8: Poisson Regressions (Finally)

This week, Caitlin and Scott and Claude debate what a regression is, and then run some poisson regressions of county level marriages in Texas onto travel distance to the nearest county with an abortion provider! If that doesn’t get your heart beating fast, you should go to the doctor because you may be dead! This is a fun episode and hope you like it! Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

April 21, 20261 hr 5 min

Episode 7 of the Odd Couple: Human Verification, I mean, Hannah Verification!

As I’ve said on here, and others have said repeatedly, the bottleneck in research is probably less so production as it is verification now that researchers have access to AI Agents like Claude Code, Gemini and Codex. But how to verify, and what to verify, is largely something all researchers will have to bumble through themselves. We did it the old fashioned way — we asked Hannah to check Claude’s work by independently going through the marriage records we found herself. In today’s episode, Hannah comes back to tell us what she found. And after today, we are now one episode closer to actually running some regressions! Famous last words. Thanks again for your support of the Odd Couple podcast, as well as my substack. Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

April 14, 20261 hr 11 min

Episode 6 of the Odd Couple: How Will We Draw Our Diff-in-Diff?

In this episode of the Mixtape with Scott, and season 5's "The Odd Couple", featuring Caitlin Myers and myself (Scott Cunningham), we work with Claude Code to make beautiful figures of our identification strategy -- the change in travel distance to the nearest abortion clinic caused by House Bill 2 closing half of Texas's abortion clinics. We are slowly beginning to prepare for our diff-in-diff strategy using continuous treatment, but not there yet.Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

April 7, 202651 min

Episode 5 of the Odd Couple: Making Maps with Claude Code!

Me and Caitlin Myers are back with our trusted robot command line interface secret agent with a license to kill, Claude Code! This week we continue our live research project studying the closure of abortion clinics across Texas under House Bill 2 and its effect on county marriage certificates, or the flow of new marriages. In the previous weeks, recall Claude Code helped find, pull, store locally marriage certificates — with people’s names and selected demographics for goodness sake! — and then build a panel dataset. But Claude also helped us try to understand what was going on with these date when some irregularities were spotted. And to satisfy by seemingly endless itch, Claude also made us “beautiful decks” according to my rhetoric of decks philosophy at my MixtapeTools repository that contains skills I regularly use. And the deck had beautiful pictures in it. This week we extend that exercise and make maps of Texas with more data as we continue pressing ahead to determine the relationship, potentially causal, of increased travel distance on the flow of people into marriage. Thanks again for tuning in. Tell your friends, family, your old second grade teacher, Ms. Lacy, your barista, the kids next door who sometimes play their music too loud about this amazing podcast with Caitlin Myers at Middlebury College, and me, Scott Cunningham, at Baylor University.Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

March 31, 202632 min

The Odd Couple Episode 4: Introducing Hannah

If the concept of a podcast where two economists use Claude Code to do research together sounds absurd, well, you would not be wrong. But that has not stopped Caitlin Myers and I from doing it. This podcast is about the two of us using Claude Code to do a research project together on abortion clinic closures and the effect it had on marriage using a Texas natural experiment called House Bill 2, and county level marriage data we collected with Claude in an earlier episode. Some of you had asked to see the “beautiful deck” that Claude made for us last week and so here it is!And here is the YouTube video if you’re wanting to watch us and meet Hannah.The age of AI has shifted things somewhat for researchers where we have to bring in verification of what we do sooner and often. Figuring out how, when and where to do that is something me and Caitlin, as well as most listeners, are trying to figure out too. Caitlin had the idea of embodying our own verification methods with a real live human being — a former student of hers, Hannah Sayre, a recent graduate of Middlebury College. In this episode, we meet Hannah, talk with her and hear about her own story and journey as a young person aspiring to a PhD in economics, and how what her job will be on this project to confirm what we are doing with Claude Code.Plus a little easter egg if you skip ahead is in the video because Caitlin is going to tell us about her new job!Thanks again for your listener and viewer support! This podcast, just like the substack, is a labor of love. So sit back and enjoy!Scott's Mixtape Substack is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. Get full access to Scott's Mixtape Substack at causalinf.substack.com/subscribe

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