Broken Pie Chart

Hosted by Derek Moore

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380

Latest episode

Jun 2026

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About the show

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

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60 recent

June 15, 2026Episode 36549 min

SpaceX Day 1 Trading | Oil Going Lower? | SpaceX Expected Options Volatility | Inflation Hype | 2 Day Correction?

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to discuss some wild SpaceX price predictions and review day 1 of trading. Then, they discuss what the implied volatility and options pricing will be like once SpaceX options are available. Then they make the case that oil has seen its peak and the bull and bear case going forward. Later, they look at the 2-day correction before the markets decided none of the things that mattered matter anymore. SpaceX day one price and predictions going forward SpaceX options coming next week Implied volatility expectations for SpaceX options Is the correction over? 2-day correction Oil futures curve US government is using oil price swaps selling out of the SPR What does it mean to use oil swaps? Hot IPO post launch performance What does history say SpaceX price will be in 30 days? Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

June 7, 2026Episode 38057 min

Friday Selloff | SpaceX IPO Price | Strong Jobs Number Revisions | MicroStrategy Sells Bitcoin | Fed Rate Hikes?

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to react to the market Friday selloff including many of the chip and memory stocks. What is driving this and has the oil trade decoupled from equities? Then they discuss SpaceX IPO pricing at $135, the strong jobs numbers that exceeded estimates including April being revised from negative to healthy positive number, and Michael Saylor sells some Bitcoin for Strategy. All this and more this week. SpaceX IPO price Saylor sells Bitcoin for Strategy Crypto out of favor judging by the ETF fund flows S&P 500 Index Friday selloff of -2.6% after continuous march higher Semis and memory stocks hit with many pulling back ~ -20% from all-time highs Oil was down but the market didn't care today More Oil supply coming online? Fed futures pricing in a rate hike by December Tough to time when to sell a highflyer Will investors hit the sell button thinking this is the turn? Greenshoe IPO provision Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

June 1, 2026Episode 3791 hr 2 min

IPO Performance First 30 Days | Google vs Tesla IPO Performance | SpaceX ETFs Are Coming | Don't Sell in May | 8000 S&P 500 Index Target

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner this week to talk about the typical IPO performance within the first 30 days of trading. Then, they compare how Google vs Tesla performed after their IPOs. Later, Goldman Sachs calls for 8000 by year in in the S&P 500 Index, how May has seen stellar returns last couple years, a bunch of ETF filings for SpaceX adjacent products, and surprising forward EPS valuations. Nvidia forward PE vs Costco and Walmart Google vs Tesla IPO performance Surprising Google State Post IPO SpaceX adjacent ETFs see a lot of filings How does this IPO issuance period compare to past ones? When day 100 is up nearly 10% what does the rest of the year historically look like? Bond vs Equity Valuations S&P 500 May Performance 1945-2026 Intel vs Nvidia Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

May 24, 2026Episode 37841 min

SpaceX IPO | SpaceX S-1 | Nvidia Earnings | IPO Fever Like 1999? | Market Returns vs Expected Returns

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to get into the SpaceX S-1 including their revenues and earnings revealed. Plus, comparing the fever for SpaceX IPO to the dotcom era in the late nineties. Then, looking at Nvidia earnings and looking at its price to sales vs SpaceX. Later, what people thought the market would return over the last 10 years vs what it actually has returned. All this and more this week. Nvidia price to sales vs SpaceX price to sales based on reported initial IPO market cap Will SpaceX get into the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq 100 Index? Requirements for a stock to be included in the S&P 500 Index SpaceX S-1 filing review including revenue and earnings What is the lockup period for the SpaceX IPO? Comparing SpaceX S-1 to Google and Amazon's Comparing this IPO cycle to the late nineties Nvidia earnings What will the implied volatility be on SpaceX options once they are made available Public service announcement about investing in IPOs Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

May 17, 202644 min

NVidia Earnings | Inflation Sticky | Earnings & GDP Still Strong | Warsh in Charge Now | Oil Price Curve

Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to discuss the upcoming Nvidia earnings through the prism of the option volatility levels. Then, they look at inflation, GDP, and markets vs expectations. Later, looking at the interest rate predictions and the likelihood of cuts vs raises with Kevin Warsh now at the helm. Finally, looking at the oil futures curve and what the back end says about where people think oil will price to eventually. Nvidia earnings predictions Nvidia option implied volatility and expected moves around earnings Pricing the Nvidia straddle Future interest rate probabilities Kevin Warsh takes over the Fed Oil futures swap curve Inflation sticky or not? Atlanta Fed GDP Now Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

May 11, 2026Episode 37653 min

GameStop Buying eBay Math | Micron Does it Again | 1995 All Over Again? | Crude Oil Head and Shoulders Pattern?

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss markets and the economy including Ryan Cohen's awkward CNBC interview with Andrew Ross Sorkin where he was pressed on the math behind the financing in GameStop's bid for EBAY. Plus, Micron again reaches an all-time high and still is trading at forward multiples below many other stocks. Later, is this year shaping up to be 1995 or something else? Finally, whether oil prices are reaching a pivot point looking at some technical analysis. Ryan Cohen CNBC interview with Andrew Ross Sorkin and Becky Quick GameStop trying to buy EBAY Does GameStop have the funding to do this purchase? Secondary offerings and dilution to shareholders Micron new all-time high Crude Oil WTI West Texas Intermediate Head and Shoulders Pattern Bearish technical patterns and reliability Comparing spaghetti chart of stock market annual paths 1995 vs 2026 stock chart Midterm election year stock market typical returns Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

May 4, 2026Episode 37358 min

Economic Trouble? | Intel Parabolic? | Micron vs Apple | Post Earnings Volatility | The Fed and Rates

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner exploring whether the economy via the LEI (Leading Economic Indicator) is flashing bearish signals. Then, they run through Micron, Intel, and Apple looking at relative valuations and what analysts are predicting. Later, they review some post earnings moves and volatility (or lack thereof). Plus, why do people think the Fed has a chance to raise rates? Micron vs Apple relative forward PE ratios Micron's forward PE is really low, but why? Intel continues its parabolic run What is the LEI Leading Economic Indicator Weights within the LEO How sentiment is super low and how it impacts LEI Powell wraps up his last meeting but he's not leaving? Does Warsh get rate cuts Lots of dissent within the Fed? Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

April 27, 2026Episode 3741 hr 0 min

INTC vs NVDA | Prediction Markets Scam | Mag 7 Big Earnings Week

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to talk about semiconductors and the relative surprising performance of Intel vs Nvidia. Plus, they examine forward PE ratios and how stocks making new all-time highs might have gotten cheaper on a valuation basis. Later, the news reports of a person scamming prediction markets for weather using a hair dryer. Finally, it's a huge earnings week so the gang has you covered looking at what the option markets are predicting for expected moves based on implied volatility. Intel vs Nvidia relative performance Did Intel get cheaper on a valuation basis? Semiconductors apparently keep going higher Microsoft, Apple, Meta, Google, and Amazon earnings are all this week Report that someone used a hair dryer on a temperature sensor in Paris to win prediction The problems with prediction markets and whether they have any place in investments Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

April 20, 2026Episode 3731 hr 7 min

Tesla Earnings Option Volatility | S&P 500 To the Moon? | Did Investors Miss? | Back to All-Time Highs

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner commenting on the stock market's breakout to new all-time highs. With earnings estimates, earnings reports, and sentiment shifting higher the market looks forward. Did investors get too bearish? Looking at Tesla's upcoming earnings via their implied volatility and 1-standard deviation expected move higher or lower. All this and more this week. Yup, we are back at all-time highs 7000 the new floor in the S&P 500 Index? Earnings analysts raise estimates again So far so good earnings season Tesla implied volatility shows what the expected range through earnings is Did investors get too bearish, causing them to miss out by selling at the recent bottom? Why its difficult to time markets Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

April 12, 2026Episode 37553 min

Consumer Confidence All-Time Low | Exxon vs Salesforce | Still in a Bull Market?

Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to discuss the all-time low in consumer sentiment and what if anything it means for markets. By the way, who exactly are they getting to stay on the phone for 50 questions? Then they discuss Exxon vs Salesforce performance since the CRM replaced XOM in the Down Jones Index. Plus, secular bull markets have pullbacks so are we still in one now? Consumer confidence all-time low Does Consumer Sentiment indicator from UMich forecast stock movements? Semiconductor forward earnings growth is predicted to be strong S&P 500 Index earnings seasons is upon us Exxon got replaced by Salesforce in the Down but since then CRM is trailing XOM Geopolitical volatility Why the Fed probably still cuts and the stock market is seeing through the clutter US Dollar Index peeled back from recent highs so is that good for earnings? Sarcastic discussion on who the heck is answering survey calls Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com