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The Risk Takers Podcast

The Risk Takers Podcast

Hosted by GoldenPants13

Episodes

159

Latest episode

Jun 2026

Language

EN-US

About the show

Willing to bet this is the sharpest podcast in sports betting https://www.goldenpants.com/

Listen to episodes

60 recent
June 10, 20262 hr 6 min

Dead Bottom-Up Edges and SPs Triumphant Return | Ep 159

First we welcome SP back to the podcast and he shares some exciting life news that explains his absence last week.Then SP and GP both give an example of an originating edge that they had at some point - not shocking that the "sports" are Golf and League of Legends. Big news week and some great questions follow.0:00 Dead Originating Edges33:10 News 1:17:30 QuestionsWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

June 4, 20262 hr 21 min

Who Does AI Help in Sports Betting (PeanutBettor Guest Host) | Ep 158

This week SP is AFK so we get Mr. PeanutBettor to sub in as a guest host. We cover who we think will be most helped by AI along with a lot of news and great questions. Clearly SP holds the show together because this went off the rails and became the longest episode yet.00:00 AI in Sports Betting40:30 News1:13:30 Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

May 27, 20262 hr 25 min

What Sportsbooks Can Teach You About Market Making & Kalish v. Kalshi | Ep 157

This week we kick it off with some lessons we learned retroactively from sportsbooks after we started market making on prediction markets. Then we cover the news - including the Matt Kalish v. Kalshi saga that is still going strong 2 weeks in. Then we hit one of the longest Q&As in history to clear our backlog of questions!0:00 What Sportsbooks Got Right25:30 News1:14:00 Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

May 20, 20261 hr 52 min

Why the Edge in RFQs isn't the Pricing w/ TroyCuban | Ep 156

This week SP and GP are joined by Troy (https://x.com/troycuban) to talk about how he has made over $700k on Kalshi this year despite never originating a bet in his life.Troy is slightly different than our typical guest (only slightly) in that he comes from a traditional finance background and now only does RFQs full time. This could be the deepest dive recorded into the most important market on Kalshi!0:00 Intro to Sports Betting29:00 Everything RFQs1:19:00 Listener Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

May 13, 20262 hr 6 min

Managing Risk Hidden Risk on Prediction Markets | Ep 155

Record breaking episode for most questions asked - if you asked a question and we didn't get to it, it's because this episode would have been 4 hours and we will answer on our next solo show.Today SP and GP talk about the non-obvious risks on prediction markets. As bettors we all are aware of bankroll management and betsizing tools like Kelly. But in this new world, there are more threats to your bankroll looming around every corner and being defensive is the game.We touch on FanDuel and DraftKings getting into the PM space as market makers on the exchanges - and have another great Mr. PeanutBettor question of the week.0:00 How we define risk on PMs10:40 Listener Risk Qs1:28:40 News1:48:00 Random Listener QsWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

May 6, 20262 hr 8 min

Million Dollar Manual Trading w/ Clay Alter | Ep 154

Today we interview Clay Alter (ClayA on Kalshi) about his start in sports betting and recent rise up the Kalshi leaderboard. Clay shocks SP and GP when he says he manages his orders fully from the orders tab on the Kalshi UI. Possibly the most manual trader we have had on and he's crossed $1.5 million in profits in 8 months on Kalshi. A great reminder that there are many ways to do it!Follow Clay on twitter: https://x.com/alter_clay0:00 Intro13:00 Getting Started w/ Sports Betting38:00 Switching to Kalshi 1:18:40 Listener QuestionsWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

April 29, 20262 hr 9 min

How Complex do Models Need to be in 2026 & PM News Breaks Contain | Ep 153

Nerd alert. The main topic is a discussion on deterministic v. probabilistic models in the current betting environment. News includes the solider who bet on himself to capture a foreign leader and made $440k before getting arrested and a rant on the people complaining about FandDuels injury insurance.0:00 Deterministic v. Stochastic Sports Models26:00 News1:05:15 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

April 22, 20262 hr 10 min

Play Sports Betting on "Hard Mode" by Betting Main Lines w/ Justin | Ep 152

Today we are joined by Justin (https://x.com/LazyBrain64) - a professional basketball bettor who bets only mainlines. That's right - no NBA props!This is a guy who bets his opinion, has lots of manual inputs into his model, and is doing it in what most consider to be one of the toughest markets in the industry. Justin not only drops a lot of betting wisdom, but also life wisdom while he explains his thoughtful path that brought him to professional bettor in a sport that he is obsessed with.0:00 Early Career and Betting28:00 Sports betting trading job52:30 Going full-time as a bettor1:11:20 Basketball Q&A1:41:00 Other Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

April 15, 20262 hr 6 min

Masters Recap & Returning to "Sharp Taking" | Ep 151

GP tries to get back in the good graces of the sharp taking community while talking about the Masters. SP walks through the golf betting model he spun up just in time for the biggest event of the year. Some news goes the prediction markets way and the boys discuss their favorite books in the questions.0:00 MASTERS RECAP & QUESTIONS53:30 News1:14:30 Listener Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

April 8, 20261 hr 38 min

Which Path Should You Choose in Betting/PMs & Golf Tick Size | Ep 150

In this episode we outline paths for people of all skill levels in the new betting/ predicting ecosystem. GP continues his twitter rant on deci-cent pricing in golf, and the boys answer the rest of the listener questions they missed last episode.0:00 PM paths for bettors of all skill levels38:45 News55:20 Deci-cent Pricing in Golf1:08:00 Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

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