
Ten31 Timestamp: Partly Cloudy
<p>Black Monday never showed up. Marty and John Arnold break down why markets shrugged off the weekend scare, and what the data under the surface is saying about AI spending, interest rates, and energy.</p> <p>🔗 <a href="https://bitcoinproducts.com">https://bitcoinproducts.com</a></p> <p>In this episode:</p> <ul> <li>Why Black Monday didn't happen and what markets did instead</li> <li>Anthropic's slowing revenue growth and the distillation fight</li> <li>Neo clouds, credit stress, and the cost of capital for the AI build out</li> <li>Hot inflation prints, the Fed, and bond market volatility</li> <li>Whether Treasury cuts 20 year issuance to deal with higher yields</li> <li>Diesel shortages, Gulf attacks, and Iran's economy</li> <li>China's export surge and what Europe might do about it</li> </ul> <p>TIMESTAMPS: </p> <p>00:00:00 - Black Monday that wasn't </p> <p>00:01:20 - Anthropic revenue growth slows ahead of IPO </p> <p>00:01:38 - Distillation attacks and the irony of AI IP </p> <p>00:05:12 - Neo clouds and credit default swaps under pressure </p> <p>00:06:55 - Cost of capital for the AI build out </p> <p>00:07:02 - Hot inflation and the Fed </p> <p>00:07:57 - Ten year yields near 5% and forward guidance </p> <p>00:10:13 - Convexity Maven on bond volatility and the MOVE index </p> <p>00:12:57 - Treasury and the 20 year issuance rumor </p> <p>00:15:39 - War driving up diesel prices </p> <p>00:18:36 - Carney on maximizing diesel shipments to the US </p> <p>00:19:27 - Iran GDP collapse and the blockade </p> <p>00:21:29 - China's 36% export surge in September </p> <p>00:22:14 - Robin Brooks and Michael Pettis on overproduction </p> <p>00:24:35 - Jim Himes and bipartisan support for Europe and NATO</p> <p>SUBSCRIBE </p> <p>› Newsletter (free): <a href="https://tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/›">https://tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/›</a> YouTube: <a href="https://youtube.com/@TFTC?sub_confirmation=1">https://youtube.com/@TFTC?sub_confirmation=1</a></p> <p>FOLLOW US </p> <p>› X: <a href="https://x.com/tftc21›">https://x.com/tftc21›</a> Nostr: <a href="https://primal.net/tftc">https://primal.net/tftc</a></p> <p>FOLLOW MARTY </p> <p>› X: <a href="https://x.com/MartyBent">https://x.com/MartyBent</a></p> <p>› Timestamp: <a href="https://www.ten31timestamp.com/›">https://www.ten31timestamp.com/›</a> John Arnold: <a href="https://x.com/JohnArnoldTen31›">https://x.com/JohnArnoldTen31›</a> Ten31: <a href="https://ten31.xyz">https://ten31.xyz</a></p> <h1 id="tftcmartybentjohnarnoldmarketsinflationai">TFTC #MartyBent #JohnArnold #Markets #Inflation #AI</h1>







